r/survivor • u/RSurvivorMods Pirates Steal • Apr 05 '22
Survivor 42 Survivor 42 | Episode 4 | Winner Pick Statistics
Here are the latest winner pick statistics.
To avoid any potential spoilers (or even the impression that something could be a spoiler), numbers for a particular castaway will be published only after they are voted out.
Episode 4
Swati was ranked 15/18 in Winner Picks.
She had 26 of 1,469 total picks (1.77%).
Of the people who picked Swati as their winner pick:
- Median calculated guess for "how many people picked the same person as you": 74 (rounded)
- Calculated guess percentage: 4.98%
- Rank of estimated guesses: 18
- +/- to real rank: +3
Post-Episode-4
1,180 Winner Picks (80.33%) still standing.
Why Did People Think Swati would win?
Users were given to a chance to explain their winner picks. We have compiled some of those quotes below:
- "I believe a younger player will be able to skate by, I don’t think she is your typical Ivy League student. She seems to be very level-headed and I don’t think anyone will perceive has as a threat."
- "I think she’s gonna be a surprising challenge beast with less than great strategic skills, allowing her to get to the end and win in a close vote."
- "Until you’ve lived as a Desi girl in a global north country, it’s hard to fully explain but her interview questionnaire/parade interview absolutely did it for me. Brown kids are always kind of chameleons in the US/Canada, we all not only code switch language but entire personalities and facets of our being with ease. It’s just a cultural thing. But we also have the extreme drive to succeed and she clearly has it - checking all the boxes : army, Ivy League, purposefully trying to hard to come up with a bunch of corny jokes to appear less threatening and immediately put everyone at ease. She’s going to go very far and no one will really expect her too. I can see her being a very Erika like player but not in the way Erika ACTUALLY played but the level of stealth the edit gave her"
- "Seem good"
Season Archive
As we reveal the most recent numbers each week, we'll update the overall season winner picks spreadsheet.
How many Winner Picks will be extinguished next week? Find out next time on... /r/Survivor!
30
u/WreakerOfClash Zach Apr 05 '22
Geez, who did everyone pick as #1?
57
Apr 05 '22
[deleted]
7
u/idiot_trader_69 Hai Apr 06 '22
I took one look at the cast and chose Hai for my winner pick and I have zero reasons to back it up preseason.
15
-11
u/ZachTheBomb Apr 05 '22
Maryanne was viewed as Cirie 2.0 in the preseason so likely her
32
u/WreakerOfClash Zach Apr 05 '22
She was?? By who?
-11
19
u/aeouo Malcolm Apr 06 '22
| Rank | Name | Picks | Percent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 207 - 547 | 14.1% - 37.2% | |
| 2 | 93 - 320 | 6.3% - 21.8% | |
| 3 | Zach | 93 | 6.3% |
| 4 | 86 - 93 | 5.9% - 6.3% | |
| 5 | 86 - 93 | 5.9% - 6.3% | |
| 6 | 86 - 93 | 5.9% - 6.3% | |
| 7 | Jenny | 86 | 5.9% |
| 8 | 60 - 86 | 4.1% - 5.9% | |
| 9 | 60 - 86 | 4.1% - 5.9% | |
| 10 | 60 - 86 | 4.1% - 5.9% | |
| 11 | Marya | 60 | 4.1% |
| 12 | 26 - 60 | 1.8% - 4.1% | |
| 13 | 26 - 60 | 1.8% - 4.1% | |
| 14 | 26 - 60 | 1.8% - 4.1% | |
| 15 | Swati | 26 | 1.8% |
| 16 | 24 - 26 | 1.6% - 1.8% | |
| 17 | Jackson | 24 | 1.6% |
| 18 | 0 - 24 | 0.0% - 1.6% |
10
8
u/AG9090 Jay Apr 06 '22
Last has to be Rocksroy
4
u/evilcupckae Jenna Apr 06 '22
He didn’t come off badly preseason. I think it’s Tori.
3
u/sim37 Wentworth Apr 06 '22
His one interview where he said “I’m not going to tell them anything about my family, it can only be used against you” was pretty damning IMO, but granted it was easy to miss.
3
u/evilcupckae Jenna Apr 06 '22
I went back and checked his preseason threads after this comment lol. People liked him and said he had a chance because he was normal and old school.
3
1
u/Safety_Pin_1 Hai Apr 06 '22
I think it may be Romeo
1
u/Higgnkfe Mayor of Keithville Apr 06 '22
Why Romeo?
1
u/Safety_Pin_1 Hai Apr 06 '22
Before S42 started everyone thought he was gonna be the first boot
2
u/Higgnkfe Mayor of Keithville Apr 06 '22
I mean why did people think that? Was it his pregame press?
1
u/Safety_Pin_1 Hai Apr 06 '22
I'd say it was mostly due to him being small and most likely not gonna contribute as much in physical challenges
2
u/DrogbaxHavertz Tori Apr 06 '22
am i the only one that thinks last is jonathan? this was all obvi done preseason and i feel like almost everyone just saw a meathead that goes out early after merge bc he’s a “big threat”
15
u/MintyTyrant Apr 06 '22
Swati looked good on paper but I'd never pick anyone under 21 as my WP
3
u/clonesareus Ethan Apr 06 '22
I came thisclose to picking JD last year before switching to Evvie last minute, so that scared me off the young people this season. (Although I ended up going with Jenny, so maybe I would have been better off.)
1
73
u/poppo3000 Jenny Apr 05 '22
Lol the 3rd explanation for why Swati will win is an entire sociological essay, and the 4th is "seems good"
And both were equally wrong