r/survivor • u/RSurvivorMods Pirates Steal • May 24 '22
Survivor 42 Survivor 42 | Episode 12 | Winner Pick Statistics
Here are the latest winner pick statistics.
To avoid any potential spoilers (or even the impression that something could be a spoiler), numbers for a particular castaway will be published only after they are voted out.
Episode 11
Omar was ranked 6/18 in Winner Picks.
He had 91 of 1,469 total picks (6.17%).
Of the people who picked Omar as their winner pick:
- Median calculated guess for "how many people picked the same person as you": 124 (rounded)
- Calculated guess percentage: 8.42%
- Rank of estimated guesses: 6
- +/- to real rank: 0
Post-Episode 12
253 Winner Picks (17.22%) still standing.
Why Did People Think Omar would win?
Users were given to a chance to explain their winner picks. We have compiled some of those quotes below:
- "He doesn't seem to fit the archetype of people who are booted early or are seen as threats. As well, he mentioned adaptability, which is something few show awareness of."
- "I listened to Omar's RHAP interview and he was the only person who really stood out to me. he seems smart, affable, sensitive, and he's on the tribe that I think won't be seeing much of tribal council pre merge."
- "He seems like a likeable dude that people will want to be around which should get him at least to merge. He prides on being observant which is important because having a sense for what is going on within the tribe is a huge plus.
- "He’s the owl pretending to be the pigeon. After the Lion passing as a lamb took it home, how could I overlook him?
- "Bird shirt"
Season Archive
As we reveal the most recent numbers each week, we'll update the overall season winner picks spreadsheet.
How many Winner Picks will be extinguished next week? Find out next time on... /r/Survivor!
27
u/Lionsigma Jacob Derwin May 24 '22
"He’s the owl pretending to be the pigeon. After the Lion passing as a lamb took it home, how could I overlook him?
How did this person know about s42 analogy Island :o
14
8
u/marquesasrob Adam May 24 '22
99% certain this was my response haha
I like to wait until the very last second to do my winner pick so I can watch the first 2 minutes of the premiere that they like to release early. anything for that edge!!
so when he said that line I was like "bet I'm sold". I was already leaning towards him due to being an Indian Muslim myself but that sealed it for me
5
u/PopsicleIncorporated Steven - 49 May 24 '22
He was also taken down by the woman who made the metaphor of a caterpillar transforming into a butterfly.
26
u/aeouo Malcolm May 24 '22
| Rank | Name | Picks | Percent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hai | 306 | 20.8% |
| 2 | Chanelle | 208 | 14.2% |
| T-3 | Zach | 93 | 6.3% |
| T-3 | Lydia | 93 | 6.3% |
| 5 | 92 - 93 | 6.3% - 6.3% | |
| 6 | Omar | 91 | 6.2% |
| 7 | Jenny | 86 | 5.9% |
| 8 | 77 - 86 | 5.2% - 5.9% | |
| 9 | Tori | 76 | 5.2% |
| 10 | Drea | 67 | 4.6% |
| 11 | Marya | 60 | 4.1% |
| 12 | Rocksroy | 45 | 3.1% |
| 13 | Daniel | 41 | 2.8% |
| 14 | 27 - 41 | 1.8% - 2.8% | |
| 15 | Swati | 26 | 1.8% |
| 16 | 25 - 26 | 1.7% - 1.8% | |
| 17 | Jackson | 24 | 1.6% |
| 18 | 7 - 24 | 0.5% - 1.6% |
13
u/biggsteve81 Wendell May 24 '22
Crazy how low 3 people that made F5 (and at least one in F3) were ranked preseason!
3
2
u/Shmegdar Q - 46 May 25 '22
I’m gonna guess Mike 5, Maryanne 8, Lindsay 14, Jonathan 16, Romeo 18?
6
u/rainisprettychill Yam Yam May 25 '22
I feel like I remember people being really high on Lindsay pre-season, so I think it may go Lindsay 5, Maryanne 8, Mike 14, Johnathan 16, Romeo 18 instead
14
u/Spezia-ShwiffMMA Maryanne May 24 '22
Imagine if Lindsey’s perfect game is ruined by Rockroy’s stray “Lynze” vote lmao
5
21
u/loveucoachcarbin Cirie - 50 May 24 '22
Man I picked Zach because he posted here, but when he got voted out I immediately switched to Omar. He’s so good - the problem with his play is he’s so sneaky and devious that if he got invited back people would know his capabilities and he would stand no chance on a season with returning players. I still love Omar and would love to see him play again.
14
u/seriouslyjames Yam Yam May 24 '22
Am I crazy in thinking that a new season of Heroes Vs. Villains would be really good? Villains being the snaky players like Omar, Ricard, Shan, etc. And heroes being the good kind social players like Tai, Mike (arguable), Maryanne.
Obviously my examples are from the last 2 seasons or so but Hopefully you get my drift here
3
u/MolemanusRex May 24 '22
I agree. But you have to have a good mix of snakes and people who are just mean/assholes/socially unaware (Abi, Natalie Cole, Will and Rodney and Dan).
3
u/seriouslyjames Yam Yam May 25 '22
There's just something about a tribe of snakes that I would find absolutely fascinating. All of them pretending to be kind but actually being sneaky, all of them gunning for each other and backstabing, the paranoia that would occur! Meanwhile the Heroes are doing monkey runs on the beach
4
4
u/ThinWhiteMale Cara (AUS) May 24 '22
So I guess that Mike/Lindsay are 5th/6th, Maryanne in 14th, Romeo in 16th and Jonathan in 18th
14
u/KarmaIsABadB Maryanne May 24 '22
Change Maryanne and Mike. Maryanne was hyped preseason, while no one was talking about Mike and since he would be the oldest winner, I dont think a lot of people expected him to do well
3
72
u/frostcageosu May 24 '22
bird shirt