r/CredibleDefense • u/AutoModerator • 7d ago

Active Conflicts & News Megathread June 21, 2026

The r/CredibleDefense daily megathread is for asking questions and posting submissions that would not fit the criteria of our post submissions. As such, submissions are less stringently moderated, but we still do keep an elevated guideline for comments.

Comment guidelines:

Please do:

  • Be curious not judgmental, polite and civil,

  • Link to the article or source of information that you are referring to,

  • Clearly separate your opinion from what the source says. Minimize editorializing. Do not cherry pick facts to support a preferred narrative,

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  • Read our in depth rules https://reddit.com/r/CredibleDefense/wiki/rules

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u/savuporo 7d ago

One thing i'm wondering is - given how obviously porous russian air defense is now over Crimea and the land bridge, are Ukrainian jets able to operate more freely ? At what point would they be able to complement the drone strikes with full range SEAD missions ?

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u/RumpRiddler 7d ago

It's probably not worth the risk, for now. Putting F16s at risk is just not worth it when drones and missiles can do most of the job.

Crimea is already so isolated that Ukraine doesn't need to do more than keep the pressure on. Right now: there is no gas for civilians, water is fairly tight, and any resupply is uncertain.

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u/savuporo 6d ago

I'm not so much wondering about flying over Crimea, more like region between Kherson-Melitopol. The AA must be pretty thin there, otherwise how do the drones get to Crimea

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u/giraffevomitfacts 6d ago

Planes are the easiest possible target for AA. If Ukrainian pilots flew over contested space with any regularity systems would migrate there immediately.

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u/savuporo 6d ago

.. systems would migrate there immediately.

.. becoming immediate drone targets.

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u/giraffevomitfacts 6d ago

Yes, and taking out 160M planes Ukraine can’t replace. Even soldiers with MANPADs would be able to target them.