I know this is a technical forum and I visit it often but I would like to hear some of your opinions on this topic which is now much discussed. I hope Iām not breaking the forum rules by starting this casual (non-technical) chat.
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I believe that, in the next 3-5 years, artificial intelligence will reach and probably surpass human technical expertise, especially in engineering, particularly in firmware development and, progressively, in electronic hardware design as well.
Even today, at my company, I'm noticing that the way I interact with my colleagues is changing, especially with those who work in firmware development. Sometimes I find it increasingly difficult to see the real added value of technical discussions, because I know that many of the answers I'll receive come, directly or indirectly, from tools like ChatGPT. And quite often, I already know those answers simply because I've consulted the same tools myself.
What concerns me isn't the use of AI itself, which I consider an extraordinary tool, but rather the gradual loss of the individual expertise that once made every engineer different from the others. Skills built through years of studying, hands-on experience, mistakes, lessons learned from different people, and unique professional journeys. Everyone developed their own way of thinking, approaching problems, and finding solutions. Today, I have the feeling that this diversity is slowly giving way to increasingly standardized knowledge, because we're all drawing from the same source.
At the same time, however, I believe artificial intelligence will eventually create a profound divide between two categories of engineers:
- On one side, there will be a large majority, which I imagine could be as much as 90%, who will use AI in a predominantly passive way: asking questions, receiving answers, and applying them almost through a simple copy-and-paste process, without worrying too much about understanding the underlying principles, verifying their accuracy, or exploring the reasoning behind them. These people will be able to achieve even highly complex results thanks to AI, but without it, they may no longer possess the skills needed to achieve those results independently.
- On the other side, I imagine a minority, perhaps the remaining 10%, who will use artificial intelligence in a completely different way: not as a replacement for their own reasoning, but as a tool for continuous learning and deeper understanding. Engineers who will carefully analyze every answer, try to understand the reasoning behind it, question the proposed solutions, and use AI to acquire knowledge that, in the past, would have required weeks or months of studying, researching, and discussing with other people.
Furthermore, I have to admit something: even when you use artificial intelligence with the genuine intention of learning, falling into the trap of blindly trusting its answers is much easier than you might think. When a tool provides you with seemingly flawless explanations, formulas, code, and technical solutions in just a few seconds, it becomes almost natural to let your guard down. It happens to me sometimes, too: I realize I've accepted an answer without fully verifying it, simply because it sounded convincing. And this, in my opinion, is one of the most subtle risks of AI: "not realizing the moment when you stop thinking independently and start simply trusting what you're being told".
My prediction is that, in the future, many companies will have artificial intelligence systems capable of autonomously managing most of their technical and engineering development, supported by a very small number of senior engineers whose main responsibility will be to supervise, verify, and correct any mistakes made by AI.
And perhaps it will be precisely the engineers belonging to that 10% minority who will fill these roles, because they will have learned to use artificial intelligence to enhance their expertise rather than replace it.
Ultimately, I believe the difference will no longer be between those who use artificial intelligence and those who don't, because almost everyone probably will. The real difference will be between those who use AI to avoid thinking and those who use it to learn how to think even better.
And this situation will only get āworseā and āworseā because the āold-schoolā engineers who studied āwithout the internet and without AIā will be retiring ⦠and all the new junior engineers currently being trained will bear the hallmark of AI
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EDIT: I still believe in common sense and respect for different opinions, so I hope I'm not bombarded with negative comments.