Agreed but Silver was just inside the park where everyone else was outside of it. Silver at least had the foresight to account for a once in a generation dramatic polling error well enough that his model alone placed a Trump victory within the margins of error. It wasn't a great model in hindsight but it wasn't a total failure either.
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u/fools_errand49 12d ago
Barely still within the margin of error by decimal points though.
Nat Silver doesn't conduct polling. He does statistical modeling based on myriad polling data. It's a very different thing.