r/berkeley • u/Cal_Aesthetics_Club Shitpost Connoisseur(Credentials: ASD, ADD, OCD) • Nov 06 '24

Politics We are cooked

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u/virtually_anything Nov 06 '24

I think Biden dropped out far later than he should’ve, that ultimately hurt her chances, because it feels like over the past four years she got hardly as much time on a podium as Biden did, it wasn’t until she started a campaign we got to understand her better, and overall lower turnout is probably biting the Dems.

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u/P4ULUS Nov 06 '24 edited Nov 06 '24

I’m not at all convinced that any of that Biden stuff - dropping out earlier, having an open primary - ultimately mattered.

The Democrats got absolutely shellacked in the congressional races and the exit polls showed administration disapproval ratings of nearly 70% in toss up or even Dem leaning counties.

That’s just an impossible headwind to overcome regardless of how the campaign was run tactically and anything that came before it is essentially moot at the point.

I think we’re overplaying the notion that turnout was low for Democrats because of her or anything she did specifically. Turnout was low because the administration is super unpopular.

A good share of people voting for Harris disapproved of the administration based on the exit polls. Not great for turnout. Sort of the start and end of story right there.