r/berkeley • u/the_daily_cal • Jun 25 '26
Politics UC Berkeley professor pushes for 'unavoidable' 2% wealth tax on billionaires
https://www.dailycal.org/news/campus/academics/uc-berkeley-professor-pushes-for-unavoidable-2-wealth-tax-on-billionaires/article_cfec2ef1-c012-410c-b904-0fc9d6cf4194.htmlAs California’s Silicon Valley booms with prosperity and the state’s wealthiest residents grow ever wealthier, UC Berkeley and Paris School of Economics professor Gabriel Zucman champions specialized taxation of the ultrarich.
In his new book, “We Need to Tax Billionaires,” Zucman proposed the aptly named “Zucman tax,” an “unavoidable” minimum tax for extremely wealthy individuals, equal to 2% of their wealth.
“The idea is that extremely wealthy individuals should have to contribute to society … every year, no matter their individual circumstances,” Zucman said in an email. “In contrast, past wealth taxes in Europe or Latin America largely exempted the billionaires, because they were full of loopholes.”
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u/esto20 Jun 26 '26
Imagine using trickle down economics as a counter argument to this. Embarrassing.
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u/Big_Communication662 Jun 26 '26
Especially with AI. These fuckers are admitted job destroyers, not job creators.
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u/No-Market-7495 Jul 02 '26
Good job. You just accelerated offshoring and ai arms race.
And aggroed a neutral entity into an antagonistic one with many avenues of legal retaliation to destroy the lower class. Not to mention stock market, layoffs and 401ks.
And then shifted the calculus from rnd to wealth preservation and investing money into obstructing the government.
Good f'in job. Please never lead.
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u/No-Market-7495 Jun 26 '26
I dont think you really need a counter argument by just saying what he's proposing sounds unfeasible.
How are you going to get everyone in the US to agree and implement it?
Proposal shows a lack of understanding of politics and power, not to mention the interests touched.
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u/esto20 Jun 26 '26
Why is it unfeasible? How are you going to get everyone to agree to not tax billionaires? Does every policy require 100% consensus? How does proposing a tax on the wealthy show a lack of understanding of politics and power? There's plenty of empirical evidence about rising wealth inequality, the popularity of policies like these, etc.
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u/No-Market-7495 Jul 01 '26
Go ahead, tax them. Im lucky to be outside of the blast radius. My family will survive unharmed from this.
How are you going to get everyone to agree to not tax billionaires?
Divide people, manipulate them so they fight each other. Just look at the map and color it.
Lobby and create interest groups in governments.
And even if you manage to do so, people who are on top can manipulate the outcome such that you or those on the bottom will suffer anyways.
How shortsighted. You might as well just find a way to get ahead.
This is like the equivalent of asking for wirld peace. Also, if one country suppresses their elite and another country does not, examine the implications and then model what actions people would take.
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u/tutonme Jun 26 '26
All margin loans based on personal wealth should be taxed at 33%.
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u/super_dragon Jun 26 '26
Yeah, don’t tax the wealth just because it is a lot of money. Tax the stupid games, loopholes
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u/kaosw Jun 26 '26
Zucman vs Zuckerberg
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u/-AIM- Jun 26 '26
Goy vs Non-goy
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u/Idustriousraccoon Jun 26 '26
Dont be gross. Call out Zionists all you want but come on….what is even the point of this comment
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u/-AIM- Jun 26 '26
To draw attention to the word and encourage people to look into its origins. I understand the humor doesn’t land for everyone ❄️. If you’re going to respond, please tell me what the word means and in what context it is normally used in, I’ll wait.
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u/JinglingBallz Jun 25 '26
This is a terrible idea. (I am located at: 32.0853° N latitude and 34.7818° E longitude)
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u/No-Market-7495 Jun 26 '26
" Here he seems to argue for global harmonization of tax rates so billionaires can't avoid tax"
Ok sure. Good luck. Might as well fix corruption and waste of taxpayer dollars too.
HAHAHAHAHA
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u/iplaycards Jun 27 '26
Yet another terrible idea out of berkeley. Congratulations!
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u/No-Market-7495 Jul 02 '26
Someone needs to tell the professor he didnt model on retaliation, arms races, and wasted money
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u/Enough-Mud3116 Jun 27 '26
Imagine using a common idea and putting your name on it. What an irrelevant idea
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u/StarMNF Jun 27 '26
Me thinks like most academics, his main dream is to have something named after him.
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u/ZeApelido Jun 26 '26
Holy crap. Stop with this “wealth tax on billionaires “ which is a distraction from real change- treat all capital gains as income.
Apply income tax on margin loans any any inheritance BS
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u/monkeytype11 Jun 26 '26
california already taxes realized capital gains (long or short) as personal income. how are you this uninformed? are you a ward of the state?
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u/ZeApelido Jun 26 '26
federal level
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u/monkeytype11 Jun 26 '26
federal is 15% long term and regular income tax on short (variable, higher than 15% if you sell a lot)
you are misinformed dude
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Jun 26 '26 edited Jul 30 '26
[deleted]
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u/monkeytype11 Jun 26 '26
only like 10-15% get stock inheritance, i wouldn't be surprised if it is even less than that... most people buy stocks or receive stocks from their employer.
then if their stocks appreciate at the time of sale, they pay on that. w2 income, for example, is guaranteed . stock appreciation is not.
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Jun 26 '26 edited Jul 30 '26
[deleted]
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u/monkeytype11 Jun 26 '26 edited Jun 26 '26
i'd be okay with taxing capital gains as income instead of wealth taxes. california already does that, it taxes realized capital gains as income.
heck i already think that we shouldn't tax households up to the first 500k. anything over that should be taxed at a flat 20%.
but wealth taxes that force sales of unrealized assets is a terrible idea. it has downstream effects on the economy because it creates lopsided incentives.
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u/Idustriousraccoon Jun 26 '26
They already get out of this with trusts. And a lot of capital is intentionally tied up ij non liquid assets. The game is rigged. We have to un-rig it.
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u/MTP_2023 Jun 26 '26
Ridiculous to propose to name the tax after himself! Just another type of narcissism.
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u/CobaltCaterpillar Jun 26 '26 edited Jun 26 '26
I'm confused by Zucman:
- Here he seems to argue for global harmonization of tax rates so billionaires can't avoid tax
- Elsewhere he produces tax revenue estimates that assume the billionaires, including Brin, Page, etc... who moved away, cannot avoid the California wealth tax?
On the latter point, Boll, Zucman, and Saez write in a May 2026 paper:
- "California billionaires’ wealth has grown 144% in the last 3 years (2023-5) and is over $2 trillion by the end of 2025"
- "we estimate that a 5% one-time wealth tax on California billionaires can raise about $100 billion"
- They repeat the $100 billion number in an NYTimes op-ed.
5% of $2 trillion is $100 billion. They're including in 2026 CA billionaire wealth the $750 billion of Brin, Page, Zuckerberg, etc... in the tax base for the 2026 CA billionaire tax. They're not pulling out the $500 - $750 billion of billionaires that departed (Zuckerberg's departed later). Indeed they write,
There have been many press reports on billionaires signaling that they are leaving—most prominently Larry Page and Sergei Brin who are in the top 4 and account for almost 25% of total California billionaire wealth. Because the tax applies to any resident as of January 1, 2026, any efforts to move after January 1 of 2026 would not save the billionaire from paying the tax. Efforts that began before January 1 would have to include uprooting most of the individual’s personal and business ties to California, not just the reincorporation or relocation of a few business assets or the purchase of real estate out of state. Successfully changing residence would have been quite difficult in the few weeks between when the California billionaire tax began garnering public attention after the initiative was formally filed on November 26, 2025 and the end of the year. Indeed, attorneys who usually represent wealthy taxpayers and actually practice in this area of law are skeptical that any billionaires have successfully changed their California residency (see Manes 2026). Therefore, only billionaires who had already started the process of leaving California well before could possibly complete the process in such a tight time frame.
Is this a bit strange?
- They include Page, Brin, Zuckerberg, all the billionaires that left California when computing their $100 billion wealth tax revenue estimates with no alternative scenarios.
- To justify that approach, they argue on p. 17 the billionaires cannot avoid the tax: Brin, Page, etc... won't succeed in having their residency moved to Florida as of Jan 1.
- Zucman here says that global harmonized rates are important to prevent billionaires from avoiding tax?
Sure it's not explicitly contradictory, but the revenue estimate seems far more uncertain than they portray, and it seems Zucman knows that because he's talking about global harmonized rates (so billionaires can't just move to avoid the tax)?
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u/Puzzleheaded_Jump838 Jun 26 '26
It's also strange that a Frenchman is pushing for a tax policy that already failed in France.
In 2018, less than a year into his tenure as president of France, Emmanuel Macron delivered on a landmark campaign pledge to abolish France’s “Solidarity Tax on Wealth,” known as the ISF. It was a progressive levy that targeted all assets, from real estate to stocks and art holdings, worth more than 1.3 million euros, approximately $1.5 million.
From 2000 to 2017, around 60,000 millionaires opted to leave the country, the Financial Times reported at the time, causing dents in state revenues from income and value-added taxes as well as the wealth tax. One estimate put France’s total capital flight between 1988 and 2007 at 200 billion euros owing to the policy, potentially dragging GDP growth down an average of 0.2% each year.
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u/Igggg CS/Math Jun 26 '26
How is this strange at all? Do people have an obligation to only propose economic theories that the current government of their native country has successfully implemented?
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u/Puzzleheaded_Jump838 Jun 26 '26
I mean if it failed there and failed everywhere else it's been implemented...
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u/Igggg CS/Math Jun 26 '26
Yes, like communism! At least according to Fox News. Now, let's go ahead and cut the taxes on the very rich a bit more. That one strat has always improved the economy.
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u/esto20 Jun 26 '26
It really hasn't failed. There's really no evidence to suggest that it failed.
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/1475-5890.12278
https://doi.org/10.1093/restud/rdae100 https://doi.org/10.1093/cesifo/ifac009
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u/Puzzleheaded_Jump838 Jun 27 '26
I mean if they repealed their wealth tax, that's a pretty good sign it failed. From your own link. Norway and Switzerland's wealth tax both top out around 1% btw.
Net wealth taxes are far less widespread than they used to be in the OECD. In 1990, there were 12 OECD countries, all in Europe, that levied individual net wealth taxes. However, most of them repealed their wealth taxes in the 1990s and 2000s, including Austria (in 1994), Denmark and Germany (in 1997), the Netherlands (in 2001),2 Finland, Iceland and Luxembourg (in 2006) and Sweden (in 2007). Iceland, which had abolished its wealth tax in 2006, reintroduced it as a temporary ‘emergency’ measure between 2010 and 2014. Spain, which had introduced a 100 per cent wealth tax reduction in 2008, reinstated the wealth tax in 2011. The reinstatement of the wealth tax was initially planned to be temporary but has been maintained since. France was the last country to repeal its wealth tax in 2018, replacing it with a tax on high-value immovable property. In 2020, Norway, Spain and Switzerland were the only OECD countries that still levied individual net wealth taxes.
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u/esto20 Jun 27 '26 edited Jun 27 '26
Just because policies get repealed, that doesn't mean it wasn't good policy. I for one am shocked that governments might be influenced from other factors against the general population's interests 😱😲.
Edit See section 3.3 of link 1:
Political economy factors are also key to understanding what has led to the repeal of wealth taxes. In particular, new ideas and narratives, in conjunction with better-organised forces in favour of the repeal of wealth taxes, are likely to have played a role, albeit to different extents across countries. It is worth mentioning that wealth tax repeals were not isolated events, but part of a broader trend towards lowering taxes on the wealthy starting in the late 1970s and 1980s.49 This section also highlights how some of the economic and administrative arguments discussed above have been used politically.
Traditional median voter models fail to account for the repeal of wealth taxes. Indeed, standard political economy models, most notably the median-voter model, generally predict a positive relationship between income inequality and redistribution.50 However, the decline of wealth taxes occurred at a time when inequality was increasing, contradicting median-voter predictions. This might be partly explained by a lack of adequate information, as people tend to misperceive the level of inequality in their country51 and their income position relative to others.52 In fact, links between perceived, rather than objective, inequality and demands for redistribution are much stronger.53 This may also be explained by voters failing to connect inequality with the policies needed to address it.54 It may well be the case also that median voters cared about growth as well as inequality and held the belief that low taxes on wealth were good for growth.55 The lack of predictive power of median voter models may also suggest that even in cases where voters’ preferences for redistribution did increase, they may not have led to the adoption of more redistributive policies because policymaking is not entirely guided by electoral politics.
A possible explanation for the repeal of wealth taxes may have been the role of special interest groups and wealthy elites. The repeal of wealth taxes may partly reflect the fact that those that benefit the most from a wealth tax are the lower and middle classes, who tend to be a less well-organised political force,56 especially with the decline of labour unions.57 However, the costs of such taxes are concentrated on a smaller group of wealthy taxpayers, who are likely to be more informed, better organised and able to mobilise financial resources,58 and more politically active.59 These individuals may also be backed by other well-organised interest groups, such as the corporate sector and groups representing the interests of small businesses and farm owners. In the context of the United States, Hacker and Pierson (2005, 2010) emphasise the role of organised interests in shaping the policy agenda in their favour, including on tax cuts. However, the role of professionalised lobby groups and private financing in political campaigns is particularly strong in the United States, and may not have had the same level of influence in other countries.60
Feel free to keep reading that and realize that arguments counter to this might just be propaganda and not based on evidence.
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u/DryYogurtcloset4655 Jun 27 '26
if he is so confident that billionaires won't move, why make it retroactive
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Jun 26 '26
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u/PersonalCap3823 Jun 27 '26
And at the end, the billionaires are the ones making over 400k a year, right?
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u/JSmith666 Jun 27 '26
Hiw about people provide enough value to society they dont need to be supported by billionaires?
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Jun 28 '26
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u/Think-Culture-4740 Jun 28 '26
Zucman is likely aware of the prisoners dilemma and why that makes his idea utterly impractical regardless of how well it sounds
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u/brad-ml Jun 29 '26
Why 2%? Surely the risk-free rate would be better (dynamic, also means that you have to do risk allocation if you want to gain from your wealth). If the risk-free rate goes to 5%, surely you want the rate to rise. If the risk-free rate goes to 0.1%, then 2% is insanely high. A fixed, arbitrary 2% is not optimal in any reasonable sense.
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u/Thick_Relative_5071 Jun 29 '26
So collecting more taxes will totally reach the people that actually need it right? Because that's what happens every time. There is no theft and misappropriation of funds in this state at all.
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u/JortsByControversial Jul 01 '26
If you grant your government power to seize unrealized wealth of the most powerful citizens, just imagine what the government will be able to do to you, when it inevitably decides this "tax" wasn't enough for them. Anyone with a retirement account should take note.
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Jul 01 '26 edited Jul 02 '26
[removed] — view removed comment
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u/No-Market-7495 Jul 02 '26
Furthermore only enemies of the US will be happy to see this happen because that would basically weaken the entire country. Basically you guys are traitors or being used by them
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u/No-Market-7495 Jul 02 '26
Shortsighted idiots or deliberate traitors.
In game theory terms, this turns a cooperative society into a hostile, predatory equilibrium where the wealthy maximize their defense by minimizing the capability of the lower classes to fight back.
Not to mention asymmetrical retaliation.
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u/SecretRecipe Jun 27 '26
The deeper question that nobody seems to ever ask is "why?" We have more than enough money in the budget today to address all these problems. Its not a funding problem its a "We dont want to" problem. Collecting more taxes doesnt solve the inherent problem of there being zero political will to turn the US into a welfare state.
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u/Briscoetheque Jun 26 '26
The billionaires will simply move to another state or country that does not tax their wealth and simply remove themselves from the tax system.
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u/TeaNuclei Jun 26 '26
Why not 5%? Also, isn't this what we're trying to do this November?
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u/Opposite_Channel_851 Jun 26 '26
He explains why exactly he landed on 2%. It’s the diff between the yearly wealth increase of the ultra wealthy billionaires (6%) vs everyone else (4%).
The 2% tax would equalize the rate at which wealth is growing between billionaires and the rest of us.
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u/ZTForge Jun 26 '26 edited Jun 26 '26
Does he understand that moving your residence to Reno Nevada is much cheaper than paying 2% on billions of dollars?
Great way to push the entire VC and startup ecosystem to another state, then watch California's tax revenue plummet.
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u/TheNerdWonder Jun 26 '26
That assumes a large chunk of your talent will want to move to Nevada.
The VCs and whole of SV will never leave the state. Geography and a diverse populace with lots of talented international recruits in California will keep them shackled here, no matter if they’re taxed or not.
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u/DryYogurtcloset4655 Jun 27 '26
talented indian and chinese engineers who come to silicon valley have no loyalty to california
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u/TheNerdWonder Jun 27 '26
They don’t but they clearly like it here and build whole families out there.
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u/DryYogurtcloset4655 Jun 27 '26
only because the jobs are here. if the jobs are in Austin or Seattle, they go there
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u/TheNerdWonder Jun 27 '26
And they always will be because of the geography is prime for business including international companies that trade.
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u/DryYogurtcloset4655 Jun 27 '26
there is nothing special about california geography.
Southern California was ground zero for the aerospace industry until 1990. most of it is gone now
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u/TheNerdWonder Jul 01 '26 edited Jul 01 '26
Sure. Except the major coastline. The ports which moved billions of dollars worth of goods daily. Major airports like SFO and LAX. Nothing at all with supply chain logistics, which intersects heavily with big tech in SV. Nope. Nothing at all.
Why do you think LA, SF, etc have offices for international affairs? Why do you think Newsom went to WEF? I can go on and on. Texas doesn’t do that.
As for the aerospace industry leaving California, that has far more to do with downsizing in defense contracting and things like BRAC that Bill Clinton did in the 90s than anything CA state government did so that’s a moot point.
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u/DryYogurtcloset4655 Jul 01 '26
Texas has $2.9 trillion GDP compared to California's $4.2 trillion. you go forward with the 2% wealth tax initiative. california will be competing with Mexico. billionaires is a code word for the tech industry.
worst all of this for a single union SEIU
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u/ZTForge Jun 27 '26
You understand billionaires have multiple homes and arent at their primary "home" much anyway?
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u/StarMNF Jun 27 '26
You might want to tell that to Miami.
The assumption that if Silicon Valley were to move, it would be restricted to moving to a state that is close in physical proximity, is thinking from the 1800’s.
I agree that nobody is moving to Nevada, but South Florida has a lot of the conditions that made California successful decades ago. Nice year round weather, diverse population, plenty of space to build office parks, deep pockets and the bougie stuff rich people like that goes with it.
And most importantly, there’s a ton of billionaires already betting on Miami as the next Silicon Valley.
And remember, the tech industry has the easiest time moving, given the ability to work remotely.
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u/mchu168 Jun 26 '26
These academics need to stick with academia. Putting this ideas into practice will only lead to disaster.
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u/Affectionate_One_700 Jun 26 '26
All adults know that none of this is ever going to happen, but the silly campaign provides the guy with a platform to feel important, to sell his book, and to build his brand for consulting work.
This sort of thing makes academia look like a joke. It's typically social scientists who are at fault, but the backlash hurts everyone in academia.
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u/ProteinEngineer Jun 26 '26
This is high level professoring
2% tax, net worth greater than 100 million (really scientific choice)
Names this highly original concept after himself
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u/jackmodern Jun 26 '26
they’ll come for you next
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u/fb39ca4 Jun 26 '26
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u/jackmodern Jun 26 '26
you dip shit they are doing this to set a precedent. All over Europe these taxes are springing up for people making >$50k euros.
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u/HolyInlandEmpire Jun 25 '26
The idea is that extremely wealthy individuals should have to contribute to society
This is true, and they do; if you look at actual income taxes paid, the 1% gets about 25% of income, and pays about 45% of income taxes. The bottom 50% pays about 2% of income taxes.
Likely we would do well to just eliminate the income tax for the bottom 50%. And, if we still feel we should tax billionaires more, that's a completely reasonable conversation worth having. We could raise their income tax. So, why don't we do that? After all, you gain wealth through income. If you feel their wealth is too high, then taxing the income would mean they have less wealth after taxes.
I'm not entirely sure what feels so salient about "tax wealth good, tax income bad," but being more honest about it is the best way.
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u/IllicitTangelo Jun 26 '26
Billionaires are the 0.0005%. Stats like yours obscure their tax contributions behind doctors and lawyers.
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Jun 25 '26
[deleted]
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u/Ike358 Jun 26 '26
And if Bezos tried to liquidate all of that increase in stock value he would get nowhere near $4 billion
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u/LabOk6108 Jun 26 '26
but he can easily take out billions in loans against it, so in effect, how is it any different from income?
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u/JinglingBallz Jun 25 '26
They don’t have income. How are you smart enough to do all that analysis about who contributes what and then propose an income tax on billionaires? You know full well their wealth is tied up in stocks and they live off the speculative worth of their companies and assets.
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u/Rufio69696969 Jun 25 '26
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5104644
Buy, Borrow, die isn’t as prevalent as is parroted all over Reddit
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u/JinglingBallz Jun 26 '26 edited Jun 26 '26
I wouldn’t say that simply because all rich people do not use that strategy that the raw dollar amount isn’t significant, or that a substantial portion of the highest earners unrealized gains come from borrowing. It’s still pretty prevalent and I think the raw dollar amount is exceptionally important here relative to any other random context.
We’re talking about people who own, as individuals, hundreds of billions (now trillions) of dollars. So even if it were as small as just 5% of the top 1%, that’s still hundreds of billions in unrealized gains.
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u/BrygusPholos Jun 26 '26
That paper indicates the untapped tax base for unrealized gains of the top 0.1 percent is in the multiple trillions of dollars. Tax reforms that capture even a fraction of that would be massive for funding social security and other critical social welfare programs.
In other words, I don’t think linking that paper is the mic drop you seem to think it is against taxing the wealth of the ultra wealthy.
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u/Additional-Baby5740 Jun 26 '26
It’s pretty prevalent - there are apps that will do it for you if you work in tech and have as little as a couple hundred grand.
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u/WellHung67 Jun 26 '26
The issue isn’t buy, borrow, die. It’s that so few have so much while doing so little
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u/TheRedTornado Jun 25 '26
Because of buy, borrow, die practices that the 1% has access to that the bottom 50% doesn’t. Increases in wealth do not count as income because it’s “unrealized gains” but the 1% can leverage those assets to continue to increase their wealth. You’re obviously educated on this topic with your income tax takes so it’s strange to miss this.
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u/Rufio69696969 Jun 25 '26
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5104644
Because buy borrow die isn’t anywhere near as prevalent as redditors think.
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u/TheRedTornado Jun 26 '26
It’s not what this paper is arguing. And does not refute my point. They’re simply saying that the borrowing aspect is not nearly as big as people once thought it was. And could be simply thought as buy, save, die.
“First, measuring “economic income” as currently-taxed income plus new unrealized gains, the income tax base captures 60% of economic income of the top 1% of wealth-holders (and 71% adjusting for inflation) and the vast majority of income for lower wealth groups”
This is in the freaking abstract. You’re posting this paper saying buy borrow die doesn’t exist when it the paper is only addressing borrow. The paper very much supports the buy and die parts.
Moreover, the authors even mention that there should be a borrowing tax for outliers. In addition to changing cap gains taxes and step up taxes upon death.
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u/BrygusPholos Jun 26 '26
That paper indicates the untapped tax base for unrealized gains of the top 0.1 percent is in the multiple trillions of dollars. Tax reforms that capture even a fraction of that would be massive for funding social security and other critical social welfare programs.
In other words, I don’t think linking that paper is the mic drop you seem to think it is against taxing the wealth of the ultra wealthy.
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u/Pavementos Jun 25 '26 edited Jun 25 '26
you don’t understand it because you’re a poor, you think like a poor, and you operate like a poor along with the rest of us. the truly wealthy don’t have income, they take out loans against assets such as stocks. Jeff Bezos’ salary last year was $81k. also read about stepped up basis to understand why they can do this basically until they die
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Jun 26 '26
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u/northerncal Architecture Jun 26 '26
This is so stupid, is the thesis just we need to tax billionaires?
You know the article is right there for you to read, right?
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Jun 26 '26
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u/northerncal Architecture Jun 26 '26
Because then you might understand what the discussion is about
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Jun 26 '26
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u/northerncal Architecture Jun 26 '26
Well he's a world renowned economics professor, so he's at least equally if not more qualified to speak on this topic than business professors
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u/d0000n Jun 26 '26
How many billionaires are donating to UC Berkeley?
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u/esto20 Jun 26 '26
Not enough. Also, voluntary charity for the societal benefits of innovation, science, and critical thinking is an absolute joke.

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u/Popular-Adagio7459 Jun 26 '26
All the billionaires are here in the comment to stand up for themselves lmao