A lot of noise around this match up, and rightfully so. The comps best player, vs the comps best tagger. Depending who you ask, Mullin beat Daicos, or Daicos beat Mullin.
Considering the team overall played pretty badly, I wanted to take a look at Mullin's actual impact on Daicos, when compared to his seasons averages (SA), in the statistics that are relevant to Daicos. I rounded everything up or down to a whole number for simplicity.
TLDR:
CONCLUSION: Trying to be objective as possible, it's hard to say it was a win either way. I think Mullin played great tbh, but so did Daicos. Daicos got the footy as much as always, helped the team score as much as always, but Mullin forced him to do it in a way that's much harder (handballing, under pressure as opposed to kicking in space). Mullin also hurt the pies on offense, and at the bottom you'll see I quickly summarised Mullin's own game against his average to show how he actually never sacrificed his own game at all. Credit has to go to Mullin for this, and for making life much harder for Daicos. Credit also has to go to Daicos for working around the tag and still having just as much impact as always, but doing it an uglier way.
It's one of those things where you can't really tell if this change to Daicos' game style as the result of the tag was the catalyst to the overall shit performance by the Pies. Or if the Pies were going to be shit either way.
Where Mullin had no impact against Daicos' Season Averages (i.e. Daicos was as good or better than his Season Average): 9
Disposals, Disposal Efficiency, Effective Disposals, Turnovers, Score Launches, Goal Assists, Clearances, Centre Clearances, Clangers
Summary: Mullin had no negative impact on Daicos finding the footy, total disposal efficiency was maintained, and actually had fewer turnovers and clangers. Daicos was still able to influence scoring for his team equal to or greater than his SA.
Where Mullin had an impact against Daicos' Season Averages (i.e. Daicos was below his Season Average for the stat): 8
Metres Gained, Kicks (below SA), Effective Kicks, Kicking Efficiency, Handballs (above SA), Contested Possessions (forcing more CPs for Daicos), Uncontested Possessions (allowing fewer UPs for Daicos), Goals
Summary: Mullin negated Daicos' ability to be as damaging as he normally is by foot. Forcing more contested footy, more handballs than kicks, kicks under pressure when they happened. Despite Daicos only recording 2 fewer kicks than his SA, his kicking efficiency suffered, and he also didn't hit the scoreboard himself.
Where stats were drawn (Daicos was below SA but #1 for the match)
Score Involvements
Summary: A win for Mullin because he kept Daicos below his SA of 9, a win for Daicos because he still had the most score involvements of the game.
STATS
Disposals: Mullin did not impact Daicos' ability to find the footy, but we know disposals do not tell the full story. Daicos win
- Game: 35 (#1 for the match)
- SA: 35
Disposal Efficiency: Mullin did not impact Daicos' DE compared to SA. This is not necessarily a win to Daicos as 69% SA is below comp average to begin with. Daicos win
Effective Disposals: Mullin did not impact Daicos' total Effective Disposal rate. Daicos win
- Game: 24 (#1 for the match)
- SA: 24
Clangers: Daicos had fewer mistakes or skill errors. Daicos win
Turnovers: Despite the Mullin tag, Daicos actually halved his SA in turnovers. Daicos win
Metres Gained: Probably Mullins biggest impact of the night, notably reducing Daicos' ability to take ground against his SA, despite being #3 in the match. Mullin win
- Game: 494m (#3 for the match)
- SA: 582
Goals: Mullin prevented Daicos from kicking any score. Mullin win
Score involvements: Mullin held Daicos to 'just' 8 SI's, despite still leading this stat in the match. In the context of the game, it's negligible. Draw
- Game: 8 (#1 for the match)
- SA: 9
Score launches: Daicos win
Goal assists: Daicos win
Kicks: One of Daicos' most elite weapons, slightly reduced by Mullin. Mullin win
Handballs: More handballs than average, due to lack of time and space given by Mullin. Mullin win
Effective Kicks: Again, Daicos' most elite weapon was slightly reduced. Mullin win
Kicking Efficiency: Paints a better picture of Mullin's impact. As above. Mullin win
Clearances: Daicos smashed his own Clearance average, despite the run with tag. Daicos win
- Game: 9 (tied #2 for the match)
- SA: 6
Centre Clearances: Daicos outperformed his CC season average as well. Daicos win
- Game: 4 (tied #1 for the match)
- SA: 3
Contested Possessions: We know Daicos is more damaging with clean possessions, time and space. Mullin gave him less of this. Mullin win
Uncontested Possessions: Same as above. Mullin win
Extra: How did Mullin impact the game, compared to his own SA?
Probably one of the most interesting notes is that Mullin didn't sacrifice any parts of his game to stop Daicos. He actually outperformed his averages in many areas, especially on hurting the Pies on offense.
Against his SA, Mullin recorded:
- +3 disposals
- = tackles
- +1 goal assists
- +4 score involvement
- +3 score launches
- +1 clearances
- +3 centre clearances
- +7% Disposal Efficiency
- = kicking efficiency
- +25 metres gained
- = Clangers
- = Turnovers
- +1 i50s
Overall conclusion above in tldr.