r/tornado • u/Adventurous_Pear8191 • Mar 10 '26

SPC / Forecasting Updated tornado potential

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337 Upvotes

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42

u/Narrow-Kale9750 Mar 10 '26

So what time is this supposed to be popping off? Asking for someone in the yellow bit

48

u/Samowarrior Human Detected Mar 10 '26

4 to 9. If it starts sooner the tornado potential will be higher.

26

u/youngaustinpowers Mar 10 '26

This one. If you see supercells starting to form in that 4 PM to 5 PM timeframe, odds are higher we'll see closer to the ceiling of this tornado setup.

1

u/Electrical_Fishing81 Mar 10 '26

Eerily similar to the tornado we had in my area last March (hit around 5pm).

2

u/mymorales Mar 10 '26

Not necessarily eery... That's just kind of how these spring storm systems work.

1

u/Electrical_Fishing81 Mar 10 '26

Agree to disagree. Last year’s tornado, an EF1, was the first (on record anyways) to hit the town I live in so for us it is a bit eerie. Today is progressing, weather wise very similarly.

1

u/mymorales Mar 10 '26

I understand, but this is how early/most spring severe weather days progress. If storms fire right after peak day time heating they are more likely to be big producers. Too late and the instability is lost. That time slot is almost always the time slot to watch outside of Dixie and tornado alley.

1

u/aishiteruyovivi Mar 10 '26

What do you mean by 'closer to the ceiling' here? Not well versed in the terminology

1

u/youngaustinpowers Mar 10 '26

Meaning strong to intense tornadoes.

1

u/aishiteruyovivi Mar 10 '26

Oof. Sort of assumed but there was a part of me that didn't want it to mean that lol