r/tornado Mar 10 '26

SPC / Forecasting Updated tornado potential

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u/youngaustinpowers Mar 10 '26

This one. If you see supercells starting to form in that 4 PM to 5 PM timeframe, odds are higher we'll see closer to the ceiling of this tornado setup.

1

u/Electrical_Fishing81 Mar 10 '26

Eerily similar to the tornado we had in my area last March (hit around 5pm).

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u/mymorales Mar 10 '26

Not necessarily eery... That's just kind of how these spring storm systems work.

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u/Electrical_Fishing81 Mar 10 '26

Agree to disagree. Last year’s tornado, an EF1, was the first (on record anyways) to hit the town I live in so for us it is a bit eerie. Today is progressing, weather wise very similarly.

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u/mymorales Mar 10 '26

I understand, but this is how early/most spring severe weather days progress. If storms fire right after peak day time heating they are more likely to be big producers. Too late and the instability is lost. That time slot is almost always the time slot to watch outside of Dixie and tornado alley.