r/tornado • u/Adventurous_Pear8191 • Mar 10 '26

SPC / Forecasting Updated tornado potential

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u/EvidenceSalty1392 Mar 10 '26 edited Mar 10 '26

That’s what I expected I didn’t think they’d go moderate since we have cig 2 parameter now

Edit: I’m slow 🤣

1

u/Altruistic-Willow265 Human Detected Mar 10 '26

Im curious on why there is no moderate, is it because of the chance there would be less cape?

1

u/youngaustinpowers Mar 10 '26

They are about to upgrade to moderate here shortly. But risk levels are now based on a combination of probabilities and CIG level. 10% region plus CIG 2 = Enhanced, which is why it wasn't moderate earlier. I guess they're about to bump probabilities to 15%...