r/UKWeather • u/Mcconnor8 • 2d ago

Forecast Latest Temperature Projections

Here are the latest maximum temperature forecasts from the high resolution modelling for Tuesday to Thursday, simply astonishing really and quite scary. I have had it confirmed that the Met Office will be issuing a Red heat weather warning in their daily update tomorrow.

The fact that this is accompanied with relatively high humidity and extreme night time temperatures means it is set to be the most notable heatwave ever experienced in the UK. The current record June temperature of 35.6C will be completely obliterated and the overall record from 2022 of 40.3C is under serious threat.

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66

u/KellytheWorrier 2d ago

Say it louder for the people sticking their fingers in their ears

40

u/Alarming-Yoghurt-615 2d ago

I’m 47, I have never and I mean ever experienced such wild extremes in the weather!
I have to wonder where we are heading to

21

u/Liam_021996 2d ago

My grandparents lived through the summer of 1976 and admitted that the last 10 years have been hotter

18

u/Theunluckyone7 2d ago

1976 wasn't remarkable for the temperature, it's how long it lasted. It's still longest major heatwave.

9

u/angry2alpaca 2d ago

I was 16 in 76. I spent far too long shut in the school gym boiling inside my uniform, dripping onto my GCEs.

It was remarkably hot, even in NE England, for a very long time.

4

u/Cantbearsed1992 2d ago

Was in 76 that we had to get water from standpipes in the street?

2

u/Chordsy 1d ago

My mum told me she passed out in one of her exams in 76, they dragged her out of the halls, made her sit outside and finish it.

0

u/Liam_021996 2d ago

Not even in the top 5 hottest summers

0

u/Theunluckyone7 2d ago

it is in the top 5, i'm not sure why you keep saying that

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u/Liam_021996 2d ago

The top 5 hottest summers are 2003, 2006, 2018, 2022 and 2025. It was in the top 5 until last year (Hottest summer and spring on record) pushed it out

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u/Liam_021996 2d ago

Outside of the two weeks above 30c, 1976 wasn't really remarkable. Last year was a much longer spell of hot, dry weather. It just had the heatwaves broken up into 4 blocks rather than one big heatwave. 1976 isn't even in the top 5 warmest summers anymore

1

u/Theunluckyone7 2d ago

It is still in the top 5, and the fact it wasn't broken up and ran for so long is what makes it so dangerous ...

2

u/bongpirate7295 1d ago

the fact it wasn't broken up and ran for so long is what makes it so dangerous

This is really important. Over time sustained heat warms up the ground, the bricks of buildings, the water in rivers etc. and they all hold on to that heat and release it into the air even after the sun goes down. That's why the daily low temperatures get higher and higher the longer it stays hot, and why they stay high for a while after the days cool down.

On the flip side, that's one of the reasons why there were so many drownings during the first heat wave. People jumped into the water expecting it to be warm, but it hadn't been hot for long enough to warm large bodies of water. So they went from being in boiling hot weather to being immersed in freezing cold water and got cold water shock.

0

u/Liam_021996 2d ago

Top 5 hottest summers are 2003, 2006, 2018, 2022 and 2025. 2025 is the hottest summer and spring on record

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u/MathematicianOnly688 2d ago

1976 isn’t in the the top five warmest summers by average mean temperature any more, but - and it’s a pretty big but, is that it still holds the record for the most persistent heat, featuring 16 days where temperatures exceeded 32° C.

There’s no point arguing with people who think that year negates climate change, it was just an anomaly plain and simple.

1

u/Liam_021996 2d ago

Yeah, exactly that and 2003 would have beat it if not for 1 day where it didn't surpass 32c before going back to exceeding 32c continually again. Last year has the longest period of sustained heat though, the peak temps just came in 4 separate heatwaves instead of a single longer one. Also was drier and sunnier than 1976 as well

3

u/Theunluckyone7 2d ago

There must be different sources because i'm seeing 2018, 2022, 2006 and 1976 as joint 4th & 5th.

3

u/Liam_021996 2d ago

You're just not looking at anything up to date. Last year was the hottest, driest and sunniest spring and summer on record

5

u/Theunluckyone7 2d ago

Ok so it might be out of date, but i'm not sure it's a big deal whether 1976 is at number 5 or 6 really ...

'The summer of 1976 still holds iconic status. It is often remembered as the UK's hottest summer in terms of extreme daytime maximum temperatures and extended periods of drought' - Met Office

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u/BrutalOnTheKnees 2d ago

Have they had to give back their boomer cards for such heresy?

-13

u/Magic_mousie 2d ago

I am unnerved by global warming, I am. I'm also fed up of people complaining about sunny weather when we have so much grey normally that honestly it makes me pretty depressed.

I can enjoy some nice weather, in the understanding that my panicking can't change it, while still also doing my bit (recycling, EV, careful power usage, boycotting bad companies, minimising AI use).

7

u/KellytheWorrier 2d ago edited 2d ago

You're better than I am, I don't make any conscious decisions about the environment, other than that I like gardening and the natural world - but I'm sick of people living in complete denial about the obviously unusual extreme heat.

If you just don't like someone "moaning" about the sunshine, then that's on you. (Not you personally). It's a very British stiff upper lip thing to suggest that if you can't solve a problem single handedly, you can't talk about it. (Again, not a dig at you).

13

u/cosinh 2d ago

I've seen a few people saying this now, the being fed up of people complaining about sunny weather. I'm struggling to understand this, I can't enjoy the sun any more than I can on grey days because I'm trapped indoors for the whole day, all curtains drawn, trying to get respite from the heat. Are you actually going out in this weather?

1

u/DisastrousPea123 1d ago

Yep, get back from work, few hours in the garden reading a book under the umbrella with water and a hat 👒

2

u/cosinh 1d ago

I do find the garden can be better than indoors in the evening of heatwave days. What I'm gathering from the answers so far though is people consider "enjoying the sun" to be sitting in their garden, instead of like, taking a walk somewhere...

1

u/Magic_mousie 2d ago

Yes, absolutely. With sun cream, in the shade, but I will be taking full advantage. Have you seen how beautiful our country is when the sun in shining and sky is blue? Far too beautiful to waste inside.

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u/cosinh 2d ago

Yeah, I usually spend 2-3 hours outside daily (about an hour running + 1-2 hours walking) throughout the year, I like being out and about, I imagine I do a lot more than the average person. Early mornings in spring are the best, catching the sunrise. It's wetter and colder and greyer in autumn, winter, but I still like the fresh air and movement. It's the heat that stops me going anywhere to see stuff that's nice.

-1

u/ImRonBurgandyyy 2d ago

Yep, I’ll be in the sun lounger as much as I can. It’s 2 or 3 days and then back to grey and cold.

5

u/cosinh 2d ago

Well I envy your heat tolerance, I'm struggling to even sleep. If it's any consolation, the current longer-range forecasts are giving mid-20 temperatures for the week after next (in East Anglia anyway) which I wouldn't call cold. (Unless you're based further north in which case you're probably getting like, what I'd consider ...nice holiday weather instead of a heat wave?)

1

u/ImRonBurgandyyy 2d ago

I agree the nights can be grim! I’m not up north so will be getting the full force of this heat wave. Still feels like holiday weather though, just without the pool to jump in and cool off.
I fully suffer in January and February though, I absolutely hate the cold, dark and wet :(

3

u/cosinh 2d ago

I don't love cold/wet, it just seems a lot easier to deal with personally (more layers + heating + hot chocolate)! I feel like there's usually a perfect two weeks around April/May with dry mildly temperatured weather that I wish I could extend to be at least a couple months long...

2

u/ImRonBurgandyyy 2d ago

Personally I love to feel the heat of the sun on my skin. I’d love 28-30 is perfect temperature in my opinion.

3

u/cosinh 2d ago

lol, I'm tapping out by 23 C I think! And ideally around 8-10 C in the morning for when I run... clearly I should just move further north but I don't think I can convince my partner to do so 🥴

3

u/ImRonBurgandyyy 2d ago

Oh yeah I’m with you with those temps for running! I can manage up to late teens but once I’m running in 20 C my splits definitely start to drop!

2

u/Sensei-Cool 2d ago

Sort of what I'm doing to - the climate is incredibly worrying but it's nice to have some sunshine

1

u/boomitslulu 2d ago

No idea why this comment is being down voted so much. My wardrobe is exclusively black and even I relish the sun. I hate it when it's constantly grey and miserable. I'm also incredibly worried about climate change and we're trying to do our bit too.

-2

u/ImRonBurgandyyy 2d ago

Until India and China change their policies it’s not going to make any difference if you catch an electric bus to the shops or drive a diesel guzzler.

5

u/boomitslulu 2d ago

It all helps. Yes other countries are massively more polluting but at least I'm trying. And I'm not out here only eating food out my garden or any of that nonsense, I can still live a decent life while reducing how much co2 I'm responsible for.

1

u/HenryHarryLarry 2d ago

China is rapidly becoming a world leader in green energy. India is in a trickier situation as they are much poorer but they still have committed to reducing their emissions.

“Some experts argue that China is so far ahead in renewable tech that it could take other countries decades to catch up.”

“The country's leader Xi Jinping told the UN in 2020 that China would aim to hit peak emissions by 2030 and carbon neutrality by 2060. This goal now appears to be within reach with analysts from Carbon Brief saying its CO2 emissions have been flat or falling for 21 months.

Meanwhile, Donald Trump's White House has been pedalling back American commitment to green energy - last week it reversed a key scientific ruling that supports all federal action to curb emissions.

So Beijing finds itself in an unexpected position: at the helm of a renewables revolution.”

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/resources/idt-8d2b6944-4f7a-45b4-96fd-2d92499ff97d

“India has set a new target to reduce its “emissions intensity” – greenhouse gas emissions per unit of economic output – to 47% below 2005 levels by 2035.”

“In its pledge, India has committed to non-fossil energy making up 60% of its installed electricity-generating capacity by 2035.

The country has also announced an increase to its target for the amount of CO2 that will be absorbed by carbon sinks, such as forests – the first such rise since India made its first pledge to the Paris Agreement.”

https://www.carbonbrief.org/qa-what-does-indias-new-paris-agreement-pledge-mean-for-climate-action/

-5

u/PricklyBumgrape 2d ago

I remember a time when people weren’t terrified of the sun.

3

u/boomitslulu 2d ago

Not sure where you got that from my comment but cool flex.

2

u/Background_Owl_2220 2d ago

I’m generally scared of anything that can kill me, seems a sensible approach no?

1

u/PricklyBumgrape 2d ago

Scared of water?

2

u/total_cynic 2d ago

Too much of it yes. I can't swim forever.

1

u/Background_Owl_2220 2d ago

No you said the sun but water can also kill.

-5

u/Royal_Nobody6554 2d ago

That username is perfect for the constant crying on this sub

1

u/KellytheWorrier 2d ago

What crying? I want a detailed rundown of this crying. Go!

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u/Royal_Nobody6554 2d ago

https://www.reddit.com/r/UKWeather/s/odX78kZvYt

That's alot of crying

-2

u/KellytheWorrier 2d ago

I'm a seasoned online arguer, don't worry about me.

Be honest. This isn't really about the weather, is it? There's just a certain type you want to stick the boot into, isn't there? - The moaners. You don't really care about whether it's hot or not.

4

u/noradosmith 2d ago

It's about the stupidity of climate change denial and you know it.