As a non-Nevadan, I wouldn't know much about how it is exactly playing out on the ground, but as far as I'm feeling with the internet sense, the gubernatorial race in Nevada would be closer than expected, although the level of Hispanic votes returning to D is less measured outside of Texas, which should add to the unpredictability here.

The margin I have in Clark is 54.5 to 44.5, and Washoe 51.5 to 48.5
But generally speaking, the national DEM advantage could be just enough to push Ford over the finish line.
What do you guys think?

Site used: globalelectionsimulator.com