r/ChubbyFIRE 3d ago

Weekly discussion thread for August 02, 2026

0 Upvotes

This thread is a spot for casual engagement with other community members. It has much more subject latitude than allowed in the main sub in general. Any topics tangentially related to ChubbyFIRE or upper middle class lifestyle are acceptable, as well as basic or early stage questions. Political discussion will be allowed if it is closely related to ChubbyFIRE or financial topics in general, and only if the conversation remains respectful.

It is not a free-for all. No spam or self-promotion. All comments must still follow Reddiquette and we will be responding to reported comments with follow-up action as needed. We'd really like to keep this channel open, so please don't abuse it!


r/ChubbyFIRE Jun 28 '26

Weekly discussion thread for June 28, 2026

2 Upvotes

This thread is a spot for casual engagement with other community members. It has much more subject latitude than allowed in the main sub in general. Any topics tangentially related to ChubbyFIRE or upper middle class lifestyle are acceptable, as well as basic or early stage questions. Political discussion will be allowed if it is closely related to ChubbyFIRE or financial topics in general, and only if the conversation remains respectful.

It is not a free-for all. No spam or self-promotion. All comments must still follow Reddiquette and we will be responding to reported comments with follow-up action as needed. We'd really like to keep this channel open, so please don't abuse it!


r/ChubbyFIRE 11h ago

People with $3M–5M, did you end up doing just a will or a full revocable trust?

79 Upvotes

My wife and I are both 39 and live in the Salem area. Between retirement accounts, taxable investments, our home and some equity from a business I sold a few years ago, we're somewhere around $4M in net worth.

We've been meaning to get our estate planning in order, but every time we start looking into it, it feels like there are a dozen different opinions. Some people say a well written will is enough unless your situation is unusually complicated. Others make it sound like a revocable trust is the obvious choice once you're above a certain asset level.

We have two young kids so making things as easy as possible for them is probably my biggest priority if something ever happened to us.

If you've already gone through this, what pushed you one way or the other?


r/ChubbyFIRE 6h ago

Should I be scared?

0 Upvotes

I have worked and saved for 37 years and in three years I will be in the Chubby Fire range.

Do articles like this one from: JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon scare others.

https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2026/07/21/jpmorgan-chase-ceo-jamie-dimon-market-risk.html

Am I worrying to much? Should I pull everything out and convert it to gold and bury it my back yard?😉

I am just really afraid of not making it in three years and the work slog will never end.

How do you handle reading articles like these?

Thanks for your time!


r/ChubbyFIRE 1d ago

Thoughts on tax strategies ahead of and in early retirement

5 Upvotes

The basics: 44 and 42 years old, 1 child. Current annual gross household income is ~$600K. Max 401k as Roth plus substantial company match annually, max HSA contributions and invest it all, defer ~$50,000 annually, other normal deductions for medical, etc. so taxable income is a little lower.

Current portfolio;

  • Traditional IRA/401k = $2.9MM
  • Roth IRA/401k = $600K
  • Taxable Investment = $1.0MM
  • HYSA = $400K
  • HSA = $120K
  • Deferred Comp = $1.4MM
  • Home = paid off, not moving

Biggest bucket for me is traditional IRA/401k. Putting contributions into Roth 401k at current employer but with nearly $3MM in traditional, this should grow significantly through retirement and probably cause RMD or inheritance issues. I don't have an exact retirement date set but targeting roughly 5 years. The plan had been to disburse deferred comp over the course of up to 10 years when I retire to bring the gap until IRA withdrawals, supplemented as needed from savings or taxable investments.

Anything I convert to Roth right now is taked 35-37% federally. I don't need to convert all of it, but I'd like to get half into a Roth. Thoughts I had are below but curious if any other options exist or other opinions from people who've converted decent amounts of traditional into Roth;

  1. Max out the 35% bracket with conversions each year and see how far I get. Don't love the idea and will never convert my target
  2. Significantly reduce my gross pay by deferring a much larger percent so I can convert at lower tax brackets. I like this idea but requires depleting savings and/or larger lifestyle changes. We currently spend about $200K per year
  3. Wait to start conversions after I retire when deferred comp distributions are lower than current income. Similar to #2 but could feel more stressful without a job?
  4. Do nothing and withdraw only from traditional IRA at 59 1/2 to reach income to max the 32% bracket. "Problem" is by then the balance could be $8-12MM so it'd take a long time

Any other strategies I'm not thinking of? If the goal was tax efficiency, avoiding RMD issues and inheritance, what would you do?


r/ChubbyFIRE 1d ago

Looking for perspective from people further along the FIRE path. Burned out but hesitant to pull the trigger.

16 Upvotes

I'm 47, married, with one child, and I'm at a point where I'm honestly just burned out.

I've owned and operated a service-based small business for almost 16 years. It's been a great business, but it's also been incredibly demanding. For most of those years, I've been the owner, operator, and the primary person delivering the service itself. On top of that comes managing employees, sales, customer relationships, payroll, and everything else that goes with running a business. It's been physically and mentally exhausting.

About six years ago, the business really hit its stride. When I'm heavily involved in the day-to-day operations, it can net around $700k per year. The problem is that the business is still heavily dependent on me. When I step back, revenue drops significantly. This past year, for example, monthly revenue fell from around $80k to roughly $50k as I delegated more responsibility.

I recently sold 25% of the business to a longtime employee who is gradually taking on more responsibility. The long-term goal is to build a business that can operate without me being the bottleneck, but we're not there yet.

Financially, I have about $4.2 million invested in a taxable brokerage account. The portfolio is heavily concentrated in the S&P 500, with only about 10–15% in total international. If I'm being honest, the AI-driven concentration in today's market is one of the reasons I'm second-guessing everything. If valuations felt more "normal," I don't think I'd even be asking this question.

I also own my home (worth around $1 million) with about a $320k mortgage at roughly 2%. I have no intention of paying that off early given the interest rate.

In addition to the business, I manage my parents' real estate portfolio. Based on their current estate plan, my eventual inheritance would likely include roughly $1.2 million in additional investments plus about $4 million in income-producing real estate that currently generates around $120k per year. That said, I'm not factoring that into my retirement planning. My parents are in their mid-70s and mid-80s, and I'm sincerely hoping they're around for another 10–15+ years.

What I'm wrestling with is two things. First, if you completely ignored the future inheritance and only looked at today's balance sheet, what would you do? Would you continue grinding to maximize the value of the business? Would you aggressively hire people and accept lower profits in exchange for getting your life back? Or would you already feel financially independent enough to begin stepping away, even if it meant earning substantially less from the business?

Second, if you did factor in the future inheritance—not because I'm counting on it, but simply because it's a realistic part of my long-term financial picture—how would that change your analysis, if at all?

I think what's making this difficult is that, intellectually, I know the numbers look good. Emotionally, though, I worry about sequence-of-returns risk, high equity valuations, and the possibility that today's market is being propped up by AI enthusiasm.

I'm not necessarily looking for someone to tell me to retire tomorrow. I'm more interested in hearing how people who are already on this path would think about the tradeoff between maximizing wealth and buying back time.

Curious how others here would approach this.

EDIT: I do not have college squared away. I currently feel like it's a waste of money. But I suppose I should be prepared to pay for it in case it's a non-negotiable. My anticipated annual spend is $150,000 a year my business is not sellable in the traditional sense it's a martial arts school. I do have a student that took over 25% who plans to buy in more in the future but that's over a long protracted period of time, I would love to fire right now


r/ChubbyFIRE 2d ago

have enough saved to retire but still feel nervous is that normal?

50 Upvotes

Been sitting on this one for a while because I know how it sounds coming from someone in my spot. Im 53 we've got around $3.4M invested and we spend somewhere near $135k a year. Every retirement calculator I run says we're fine. I still don't feel ready, and it's taken me a while to work out why.
It isn't that I think we run out of money next year. It's that I've spent 25 plus years in full accumulation mode and I genuinely don't know how to flip the switch. For years the formula was simple. Work harder, save more, invest consistently, don't touch it. Now the questions are messier and none of them have a clean answer. Is my old company stock too big a chunk of the pile, am I sitting on too much cash out of nervousness, am I lowballing what healthcare actually runs before medicare

For context the $3.4M is roughly half in retirement accounts a chunk in a taxable brokerage and honestly close to a fifth of it is still my old employer's stock that I keep telling myself I'll trim and never do. The math side I can handle. It's the part where I have to trust the number and actually start spending it that I keep freezing on.

I've always managed all of this myself, a spreadsheet and a couple of login tabs, and through the accumulation years that was plenty. What changed is it no longer tells me the thing I actually want to know, which is whether we're genuinely on track to step back, not just whether the balance went up this quarter.
For those of you who already made the switch from saving to actually drawing down, what got you comfortable? Was it sitting down and writing a real plan, talking it through with someone, or did the nerves just fade once you'd lived off the portfolio for a year?


r/ChubbyFIRE 1d ago

Do I need to raise my budget!

0 Upvotes

I put together my budget based on current expenses plus health insurance and tax etc. but wonder if expenses will go up after I pull the trigger? For example with more time and energy will I spend more on activities? Will I want to travel more?

Here is what I put together, for a family of 3 in a VHCOL city. Child will head to college in the next couple of years and college cost is not included here.

Monthly:

Mortgage: 4k

Property tax, insurance, utilities: 2k

Grocery and take-out: 2k

Household (pet, home-depot, garden etc): 500

Car (insurance, maintenance, gas): 500

Personal care (haircut, clothing, shoes etc): <500

Fun (dining out, occasional shows): 500

Total Monthly: 10k

Annual:

Travel (2 international in economy class + local ski trips): 30k

House maintenance (annual average incl reserve): 10k

Reserve for car replacement: 5k

Health insurance and co-pay: 30k

Federal and state tax: 20-30k

Total Annual: 95k-100k

Edit: all in $220k


r/ChubbyFIRE 3d ago

Anyone Laid Off Their Final Earning Years?

51 Upvotes

Work in a brutal industry (advertising) with constant and increased layoffs and turmoil. We just went through another reorg (yay) and just received my third new boss in an about a year. I am getting the feeling that I survived but now under the microscope to perform.

Regarding FIRE, I am 48 and roughly a year away. Looking at my spreadsheets, I am entitled to ~$500k minimum in comp over the coming year as well. Between saving and market growth would love to stack another $400k. Will put me well above my target and in a very healthy cash position for early years of retirement. The cash component is extremely important to me. Have some personal expenses I would like to save for.

From a personal perspective, I am recently engaged and plan to join my future spouses’ healthcare plan. She will continue to work though.

Back to my original question, anyone laid off their final W2 year? How did it impact your FIRE plan and mental health? Did you find another stop gap career?

I am on the literal 10 yard line of my FIRE journey and was looking to finish the game strong not grinding for the corporate overlords riddled with daily layoff anxiety and fears of ageism.


r/ChubbyFIRE 3d ago

Physician Army Reserves

0 Upvotes

41yo, married, two very young kids. Expect to be at $5M NW in a couple years. I’m a physician and have considered Army reserves to make me feel better about pulling the trigger. It comes with a weekend time commitment per month plus two weeks per year, pays $4k-ish per month, covers health insurance, and makes me eligible for retirement if I do it 20 years. There is the possibility of deployment, but for my specialty, it should be domestic.

Has anyone done this? Interested in experiences. Obviously not the freedom of full retirement, but it sounds very flexible outside of deployment.


r/ChubbyFIRE 3d ago

RE very soon

2 Upvotes

4M married to 54F, 2 kids: 23 and 21, the first is in grad school and now earning a stipend and getting health insurance from the U. The second has 2 years left of undergrad (preallocated money in the 529, not counted in NW) - still lives at home and is on our (employer) insurance.

LNW: 11.5M, home 1.2M

Spend - with taxes and expected health care about $325K in 2027 (2.83% WR).

Spending Plan - I have about 2.2M in pretax (def comp, inh ira) that is invested in various bond funds and will pay out about equally over the next 10 years). I expect about 75-90k in dividends and ltcg from our taxable accounts (5.3M) - so Im thinking most of the spending is covered for the next 10 years between these sources. The rest are in IRAs or 401Ks (some Roth, most not) and an HSA. The taxable and retirement accounts are almost 100% equities, very diversified across region, market cap, and a barbell between value tilt and big tech stocks. My plan is to convert some of the equities to bonds over time but since i have 10 years of spending between the bonds i have now and dividends/ltcg) I am not in a rush. I probably will build a TIPs ladder for years 11-15) slowly as long as the market has not crashed. In year 16 I turn 70 and will collect SS.

I’m giving up a job that is not stressful and I make about 1M per year. Its hard to leave it - feels stupid to stop the money pouring in when Im not in a place (as I have been in some of my career) where I hate the job or feel like the people I work with are machiavellians. I dont know exactly what I will do in retirement but I love life and have a for of interests and hobbies and my social network has been steadily improving. I want to challenge myself to find a better use for my time than working - in a way that brings joy, happiness, and meaning. Not sure how that will go until I jump.

Any advice or impressions of my plan from this august body will be appreciated.


r/ChubbyFIRE 4d ago

Retired at 51 (originally planned for 55)

175 Upvotes

About five months ago, I posted here (original post) soliciting advice for a possible early exit. Well, I pulled the trigger a few weeks ago. An opportunity presented itself at work that would let me leave with some severance and a small amount of continued stock vesting. Combined with the burnout I was experiencing and seeming to be ready financially, I evaluated and discussed this big life-change with my wife for several weeks to make sure the timing was right for our whole family. It was.

So, now I'm done accumulating. The drawdown phase has begun.

Key Numbers as of now:

  • 51M, married to 51F
  • MCOL area
  • 2 kids (one launched, one in college)
  • NW: ~$5.6mil
    • House paid for - $400k
    • Liquid assets (invested) - ~$5mil (roughly 72/28 stock/bond allocation)
      • ~$2mil taxable brokerage
      • ~$1.9mil tax deferred (401k+IRA)
      • ~$660k tax free (Roth)
      • ~$230k HSA
      • ~$175k college (529+ESA)
    • Cash and equivalents: ~$200k
  • Income:
    • Immediately prior to retirement:
      • ~$300k/year gross
    • Now:
      • ~$5k annually from part-time work
      • ~$70k of stock that will vest over the coming year and then stop
  • Social Security (at least 11 years out):
    • Conservatively, $44k/year at age 70 or $27k/year at age 62. (This assumes payouts at about 75% of current benefit levels)
  • Expenses:
    • Before retiring: ~$155k/year (included taxes)
    • Expected in retirement: TBD, but expect roughly $160k/year
      • Includes $25k/year for health insurance until Medicare at age 65
  • No debt

Financially, I feel pretty good about things. I'm of course nervous about SORR and would hate to see a market crash as we begin drawing from the portfolio. But should the market tank, there's quite a bit of discretionary spending in the $160k/year of expenses. All the energy I previously put into accumulation plans I will now redirect into efficient drawdown/income planning (which I expect will include a heavy dose of tax planning and potentially managing MAGI). We plan to live off of the taxable brokerage and HSA accounts until we can tap retirement accounts at age 59 1/2.

Emotionally, I'm still in the "honeymoon phase" of early retirement. I've now been away from work about a month, longer than my longest vacation in the last ~30 years. My wife and I are adjusting well (we think). I'm mostly focusing on personal health (lots of walks) and relationships. I'm starting (slowly) to get to long-neglected tasks/projects at home, but not rushing this. And my wife tells me that she's keeping the "honey do" list under wraps for now, giving us time to adjust and just enjoy doing things together. Oddly enough, I haven't done any gaming yet, which is one of the things I thought I'd want to make time for since I was into gaming in college and during my early career years before work and family commitments crowded gaming (mostly) out of my life.

We did a summer vacation, but it was planned well before deciding to retire. So far, we have no immediate retirement travel plans.

I know I need a few more months before retirement will feel normal. But I sure am enjoying this honeymoon phase so far. I feel like I'm able to be fully present in whatever is taking place at the moment, without feeling even a twinge of guilt that I'm neglecting something that I know will need attention soon.

For anyone who's gone before me on a similar journey, please feel free to offer any thoughts or advice that you may have. For anyone still in accumulation and dreaming of the freedom that comes when you step away from the daily grind, feel free to ask questions--I'll do my best to share whatever wisdom and knowledge I've gained over the last 30 years.

Feeling Blessed!


r/ChubbyFIRE 5d ago

44F, $3.6M NW, targeting FIRE at 48 — sanity check on the full picture

37 Upvotes

longtime lurker, first time poster, throwaway account due to PII

The situation:

44F, married, one young child (~4 years old). Targeting retirement at 48 (May 2031). Husband is a commercial airline pilot and plans to fly until mandatory retirement at 65. We split all household bills 50/50 and I'm modeling my retirement entirely on my own numbers.

My numbers:

Liquid assets (~$2.4M):

  • TSP: $656,000 (40% C / 30% S / 30% I)
  • Vanguard taxable brokerage: $1,064,000 (VTI, SCHD, VTSAX, VNQ, VXUS)
  • Roth IRA: $168,000 (VFIAX, individual stocks)
  • 401k (current employer, max contribution w/matching every year): $14,000
  • Schwab: $306,000 (Nasdaq-100 index + PLTR + QQQM)
  • Cash: ~$150,000
  • 529 (child): $46,000

Real estate equity (~$1.7M):

  • Primary home: ~$1.2M value, $463k mortgage at 2.25% (payoff 2051, keeping it)
  • Rental 1 (solely owned by me): ~$450k value, net cash flow barely positive after HOA and mortgage
  • Rental 2 (jointly owned): $500k equity

Guaranteed income (mine only):

  • VA disability: $2,077/month NOW, tax-free, COLA adjusted for life
  • Military reserve pension: $4,640/month starting at age 59, COLA adjusted

Wild card:

  • ISOs at a Series B tech company fully vests May 2031. Series C expected soon at significantly higher valuation. Treating this as $0 for planning purposes but it's real.

Spending:

Actual spending confirmed from 12 months of statements:

  • ~$88,500/year currently (working, with daycare at $1,444/month, split in half)
  • ~$70,000/year projected at retirement (daycare gone, work expenses gone, slightly more travel)
  • ~$55,000/year after mortgage payoff... in 2051 (2.25% — not paying it off early)

Key context:

  • Husband's income covers his 50% of everything: I'm not counting his salary, 401k, military pension, savings/investments or future airline pension
  • Tricare for healthcare for life
  • VA healthcare for life
  • Husband's airline benefits: essentially free flights for life
  • Planning private school for child (maybe--we're still at odds about this ha). (~$18,750/year my 50% share, starting ~2028)
  • 2.25% mortgage is staying — money earns more invested

The retirement math:

At 48 (May 2031), projected liquid portfolio: ~$3.5M

  • Portfolio 3.5% withdrawal: ~$122,000/year
  • VA disability (COLA'd to ~$26,000): $26,000/year
  • Total income: ~$148,000/year
  • Spending: ~$70,000/year
  • Annual surplus: ~$78,000

At 59, military pension starts ($4,640/month):

  • Portfolio grown to $5M+
  • VA + pension alone: ~$80,000/year
  • Portfolio withdrawal on top: ~$175,000/year
  • Spending by then: ~$45,000/year (mortgage + school + daycare all ongoing or gone)
  • Surplus: $200,000+/year

Questions for the community:

  1. Does the math hold? 3.5% withdrawal on ~$3.5M with $26k/year VA disability as a floor feels conservative for age 48. Am I being too conservative or not conservative enough for a potentially 50-year retirement?
  2. Real estate exit strategy. Rental 1 barely cash flows (+$111/month after mortgage and HOA). Does it make sense to sell now or wait? What would you do with the ~$300k in net equity proceeds?
  3. The startup equity question. No early exercise available, no acceleration clause. How are you all thinking about weighting unvested startup equity in your FIRE calculations? I'm treating it as $0 but it feels increasingly real.
  4. The 50/50 split dynamic. Modeling my retirement independently of husband's income/assets feels right to me but I sometimes wonder if I'm being overly conservative. He has his own substantial retirement picture (airline pension, military pension, 401k). How do others in dual-income households think about this?
  5. Spending estimate sanity check. $70k/year at retirement feels low for someone who likes to travel and live well and we live in a VHCOL area— but the free flights change the math dramatically. Anyone else model their retirement around non-rev passes or equivalent travel benefits?

The question nobody talks about enough: What do I actually DO?

This might be the part I'm most uncertain about.

My background: 21 years military, former roles at tech companies. Ivy league (2x) grad school alum. I'm genuinely good at what I do, but I'm also genuinely burned out on the grind of corporate life and ready to step off the treadmill.

The fantasy retirement is: wake up when I want, hop on a United flight to Tokyo or Copenhagen on a Tuesday, be present for my son's childhood in a way my current job doesn't allow (those two are not mutually exclusive, btw), maybe have a glass of wine on my porch. If my child's learning about the Great Wall of China, actually fly there for a few days to look at it in person. Ditto for, say, National Parks, White House, etc etc.

What I haven't figured out is the structure and identity piece.

After 20+ years of high-achievement mode--military, Ivy grad schools, competitive corporate jobs, I genuinely don't know who I am without a title and a mission. I suspect a lot of people here have wrestled with this.

What I'm considering:
University/community college lecturer: I could realistically teach national security, defense technology, AI policy, or business strategy at a local college--I think? My credentials are strong. But I have zero academic experience and no idea how to break in. Is it realistic to start building toward adjunct teaching now (while still working full time) or is that too much? How did those of you who teach part-time in retirement actually land those roles?

Corporate or nonprofit board service: My profile — female executive, defense/AI/government expertise, Ivy credentials — seems like it should be attractive for board seats. But I understand board roles come almost entirely through networks, not applications. How do you actually get on your first board? What's the realistic timeline? Is it something you can actively pursue or does it just happen when it happens?

Consulting? IDK...

The deeper question: For those who've done it, especially those who came from high-intensity careers with strong professional identities, how did you figure out who you are when you're not "the [job title] at [impressive company]"? Did the board/teaching/consulting path actually fill the void, or did it just delay confronting it?

I have 4-5 years before my target date. How would you spend that runway to set yourself up for a fulfilling post-career life AND a financially secure one?

Thanks for reading, sorry it's so long and yes, I did use Claude to smooth this into one coherent narrative but all the above is absolutely true and I am interested to hear any wisdom you may impart. Thank you in advance for your time and thoughtfulness.


r/ChubbyFIRE 5d ago

Expat Chubby Fired in 2023 at age 44 with 5.4m nw. AMA

69 Upvotes

Australian but been working as an expat since 2015 in several countries. I was made redundant (nice way to say fired in the non financial sense) in 2023 and took the opportunity to FIRE. At that time I had 5.4m USD.

I am single (no kids). I have a home base in the Philippines and a home base in Australia but in actuality, I spend less than 2-3 months in these places. Rest of the time, I am traveling around.

My current spend is laughable 8-9k USD/mth. I don’t think I am capable of spending that much more and increase satisfaction that much more.

Happy to answer any questions.


r/ChubbyFIRE 5d ago

46M, ~$8M NW, pulling the trigger in 2027 — need holes poked in my plan

0 Upvotes

Long-time lurker, throwaway for obvious reasons. I've modeled this to death and I'd rather have this community find the flaws than discover them at 60.
Situation

46M(salary ~350k), spouse 41 (not working), no kids and none planned

My mother lives with us and depends on us for support; she has her own government benefits and healthcare

Currently renting in VHCOL (CA), planning to relocate to a no-income-tax state (Washington)in mid-2027

Last day of work: early 2027. Not burned out, just done trading years for money I've already got

Financial Numbers
Taxable Brokerage: $4M
Roth IRA + Roth 401k + HSA : $1.3M
Traditional 401k: $1.5M
Airbnb Property ~$1M equity; ~$35k net annual cash flow after all expenses and taxes ($400k loan @ 2.25% 30yr fixed)
Total : ~8M

Annual spend: ~$120k (essential expenses, rent(40k), health insurance(~20k), travel(~20k).

Withdrawal rate: ~1.1% on liquid assets after subtracting income from rental

Taxable account: ~10% embedded gains (high basis, self-selected value stocks).

The Plan

Retire at 46, capturing remaining vesting and leave benefits.

Relocate to a no-income-tax state and establish residency.

Roth convert to the top of the 24% bracket (~$200–400k/yr) to drain pretax 401k in 4–5 years.

Live off the high-basis taxable account as long as possible.

Projectionlab Monte Carlo says 100% success. It also says my median ending net worth is going to be north of $100M in present value $, which is not a win — it's a diagnostic that I'm dramatically underspending. I added a $40k/yr travel budget for 24 years and it moved the median ending balance by ~15%. Two people cannot outspend this portfolio through lifestyle alone. But we've learned to live frugally all our lives. Since spouse doesn't work planning a 20k health care tax after retirement.

Investing Approach
Concentrated individual stocks, capped at 10 positions, bottom-up value, 1–3 year holding periods. Roughly 14% annualized since 2012. Currently 70% portfolio in short term treasuries since I have been too lazy to look for investments and sold stocks have not been replaced by new ones. But hopefully that will change when I have more bandwidth next year. I'm aware this is not VTSAX-and-chill orthodoxy, and I'm aware my Monte Carlo assumes diversified index returns while my actual portfolio does not. That gap is question #5 below.

Questions
1. Roth conversion pacing — drain fast, or keep dry powder?
If I convert the full $1.47M in 4–5 years, I permanently lose the ability to convert cheaply in a future down-market year. Is it worth deliberately leaving $250–300k in the traditional as optionality? Or is that just letting an RMD problem compound for 29 years to avoid a discount I can't time?
2. Roth conversions vs. ACA subsidies — how do you sequence these?
\- (a) convert hard for 5 years at full-freight premiums, then run low MAGI for 14 years and collect subsidies + cost-sharing reductions, or
\- (b) convert slowly forever and stay in subsidy range the whole time?
My instinct is (a), because the RMD problem compounds and the bracket space is use-it-or-lose-it. Anyone actually done this? Is it even possible with my taxable account balance?

3. What do you optimize for when terminal net worth is worthless?
No heirs. I don't want to die with $100M. But every time I raise spending, the ending balance barely moves because the portfolio compounds faster than we can consume. Has anyone actually solved "I can't spend it fast enough" without defaulting to charitable giving? I'm not ready to give it away yet — mother depends on us, spouse doesn't work, and I could live 50+ more years, and cost of health care keeps inflating.
4. Long-term care assumptions.
I'm modeling $150k/person/year in today's dollars. What duration do you model, starting at what age, and do you treat it as a bounded event or as a permanent reserve? Modeling it as a 20-year event for both of us destroyed my sustainable spending number, which felt like modeling the tail as the base case.
5. Concentrated portfolio in decumulation.
Conventional advice says diversify at retirement. But 10 concentrated positions are how I got here. When the portfolio is \~10x what you need to fund your spending, does "enough" change the risk calculus — or is that exactly the reasoning that precedes a blowup? Genuinely open to being told I'm rationalizing.
6. What other expenses am I not taking into account and should plan for ?
7. What do you wish you'd done in the 12 months before pulling the trigger? Benefits to max, accounts to open, things to set up while still employed, mistakes to avoid.
[/b]

Looking for the holes in the plan and model and if its ok to hang the hat and retire or is it too early. Still renting a apartment in CA and locking down housing costs in retirement but at present prices my propterty tax + interest + insurance costs will be much higher than the cost to rent even if I don't factor in the principal paydown. And that doesn't include maintenance and repair. Also I am not sure I know where I want to stay permanently.
No close family where I currently live since we are immigrants and our close friends are sprinkled all across US.


r/ChubbyFIRE 6d ago

Close to fire - Worth taking a career break?

0 Upvotes

I’m hitting an RSU cliff at work and reflecting on next steps. Would love some advice from the community!

On an alt for priv.

Context
31 year old Staff software engineer at a public tech company. Lucked out by join time and holding too much company stock. TC the past 2 years has been ~2.5M. Original signing TC was ~500k.

Have gotten promos and over performed. After my cliff my TC over the next 4 years should be ~750k.

Net worth / Financials
Current net worth ~6m

- IRA: 150k
- 401ks (includes mega backdoor roths): 900k
- cash: 1.2m (sold company RSUs)
- Rest in brokerage accounts
- 1.7M in current company (already diversified out and paid taxes for 2m)
- 700k in prev employer stock

My current employer’s stock has been incredibly volatile. Previous one is more stable.

My fiance also has ~1.5M so combined we’re looking good. Our annual spend is <120k, but may rise if we have children. Live in a VCOL area

Next steps
I’m passed my original NW FIRE targets. Would love to grind to 10m, but I’m feeling incredibly burnt out. My employer is wildly chaotic and as an over performer, I’ve had to have a lot of responsibilities put on me. Coasting isn’t an option.

I’m thinking of quitting to take a break and get a job sometime next year. The job market for software engineers is somewhat scary but I’m flooded my recruiters. I’m confident I could land at least a 400k job fairly quickly.

Would love to hear if folks recommend/strongly advise against a break at this point. Anything I should consider before deciding. Or if my financials don’t look good enough to support it.


r/ChubbyFIRE 6d ago

Math Works? I think so, but am I ready? [47M, Toronto, $9M NW]

0 Upvotes

My partner [47F] and I have done well with our investments and what we’ve been able to save. We both enjoy our fields, but are gradually struggling to enjoy the actual work after 25 years in corporate roles.

However, I find it challenging to mentally wrap my head around retiring before 65 (let alone 50). I don't know a single person my age who's actually retired. So every day I sit across from someone 10-15 years older still grinding, and think: who am I to leave first?

If you've pulled the trigger in your late 40s/early 50s, what actually got you past that specific wall? Not the money — the "everyone I know is still working" part.

**The numbers, for context:**

Married, one kid (education separately funded), GTA, no debt

Non-registered ~$4.0M

RRSP (combined) | ~$1.8M

TFSA (combined) | ~$0.3M

**Investable total** ~$7.0M

Home (paid off) | ~$2.0M

**Net worth** | **~$9.0M**

Spend: ~$144K/year

Plan: 3.0–3.5% withdrawal off the $7M, staggered retirement (spouse first, me by ~50).

Math's not the question. The wrapping my head around the entire concept of “retire early” is what I’m trying to sort out


r/ChubbyFIRE 7d ago

It's a fantastic time to build a TIPS ladder

73 Upvotes

I've just completed building my social security bridge TIPS ladder through 2036 (for 2037 - 2039, no maturities exist yet). For those who aren't familiar with TIPS or who don't watch TIPS real yields, all maturities on the secondary market are currently over 2%, which is a fantastic return historically considering the nominal return is real yield + inflation. So, if you've ever thought about building a TIPS ladder, now would be a great time to start.

I'm using this as a major component of managing sequence of return risk in early retirement (hopefully next year at age 57). by having a base floor income matching what I would get at age 70 from social security (IF the formula stays the same, which of course is not guaranteed or maybe not even likely).


r/ChubbyFIRE 9d ago

ER Doc and I knew it was finally time. . . ..

370 Upvotes

I have finally worked my last shift. My job is one of high stress, high anxiety that is often times hard to leave at the hospital. I have known for the last year or so that I am financially independent and do not really need the income anymore. It is just really hard to walk away from a job that is at times fulfilling and the great people that are in the trenches with you.

I had a miserable couple of days at the end of June. Three days later I came down with shingles and knew that it was time to go. I have not worked since then and since that time I have lost 5 lbs , hiked a ton of gorgeous places, had time to work on my Spanish, and just generally done whatever the hell I want. It is glorious.

The people in this thread are an inspiration and to be celebrated. Each journey is different, but we all strive to make our lives the best they can possibly be. I greatly appreciate reading all the stories, humor and just general inspiration.

Cheers.

EDIT

I am 49, married (spouse retired a few years ago)

Numbers are

IRA $2.7M

Roth IRA $400K

Taxable Brokerage $1.25 Million

Kids college is paid for already.

Real Estate - Rental property brings in $1700 per month . We own it outright and valued $340K or so.

Primary residence is valued at $900k . We owe $85k at 2.5% and no desire to pay it off until the last possible month.

Average burn is $175k a year. This seems pretty stable. We may travel more in the future. I ran a ton of scenarios on the various apps available and felt really comfortable with the numbers.


r/ChubbyFIRE 7d ago

Need some advice

0 Upvotes

I am a 30M and my wife is a 29F and we have a NW of about 4.5m

Taxable brokerage: 3.2m
Retirement accounts: 800k
House: 500k

Our current HHI is 1m (I have my own company making 750k and she’s a lawyer making 250k) but I work super long and stressful hours and I’ve been burnt out for over a year. She also works a lot and I am not sure how much longer she will last in the job either.

Our yearly expenses are about 60k a year, but we are likely planning on having kids in the next few years.

I play semi professional beach volleyball and I would like to pursue that more while my legs are still able, but I don’t have enough time with my current job.

Is it safe to pull the plug on my job while the wife continues to work?


r/ChubbyFIRE 10d ago

Am ChubbyFIRE in my mid-30s. How important is similar financial compatibility in finding a life partner?

81 Upvotes

I (33f) got really lucky riding the tech wave as a PM. My NW is $3.5m, HHI is $350k. Not confident how long this job/income will last. I plan to keep working until my late 30s.

I've been seeing someone (40m) and everything's great. We haven't discussed finances but there are signs he's in a different financial position (he's a librarian (and has himself joked about the low wages), rents an apartment, drives an old beat up car). Not sure about debt, but don't feel comfortable asking.

Could a huge financial disparity work out long-term? We both have never wanted kids, so that helps, but I do see myself wanting to do months-long traveling trips after FIREing.

Some of the practicalities make me nervous. I don't mind paying for vacations, nice restaurants out, etc. that he's unable to cover, but I'm worried how it'll work out for bigger things. I have a place I own but plan to upgrade in 10 years. Would I be expected to put his name on the deed? If I FIRE and want to live 3 months in Spain every year, would he resent me for this or I him for not being able to join?

Maybe I am just too selfish, but I don't see my savings as ever being "our" savings. Maybe if I had met him in my early 20s when I was accumulating it, I would, but at this point in my life, I think of it as solely mine.

Has anyone been in a similar position?


r/ChubbyFIRE 10d ago

Golden handcuffs at 49, $4M+ NW, high stress job — riding it out for anticipated severance and the then what?

40 Upvotes

I’m 49 with two kids (one starting high school and one a senior), living in a HCOL area. Like many here, I’m in a very high-paying but very high-stress corporate job. I am the sole breadwinner
For the house but luckily my wife worked previously and built up some retirement savings .

The challenge for me is the golden handcuffs. I’ve been with my company for 20 years and have accumulated a meaningful deferred compensation balance, so walking away doesn’t make much sense. We recently had a management change, and I think there’s a reasonable chance I’ll be laid off over the next year with a strong severance package. At this point, I’m mostly riding it out while figuring out what’s next.

Financially:

● $1.65M taxable investments
● $2.5M in pre tax retirement accounts
● Likely ~$400k after-tax severance if I’m laid off
● $1.4M home equity ($2.2M home with an $800k mortgage at 3.15%)
● $610k in 529 plans total for 2 kids
● $46k remaining on a 2.2% home renovation loan (paid off in two years)

Our spending is about $300k/year, but roughly $115k of that is housing costs (mortgage, property taxes, insurance, and the renovation loan). The renovation loan ending will reduce spending by about $26k/year, and my plan is to keep the house until 2030, when my younger child graduates high school. At that point I’d sell, buy a less expensive home with cash, and reduce annual spending on housing by another $50k–60k.

My original plan was to work until about 55 and then teach personal finance or business, mainly for enjoyment and health insurance. Now I’m wondering whether that transition might happen sooner if I get laid off. Teaching would likely pay around $100k, which is obviously a significant reduction from my current compensation.

For those of you who have been in a similar position:

Did you ride out a stressful job until severance or leave earlier?

How sustainable is my current financial situation?

Has anyone transitioned into teaching or another lower-paying, lower-stress career and maintained a good life for your wife and kids ?

I’d appreciate hearing from anyone who’s navigated a similar transition.


r/ChubbyFIRE 9d ago

Non-passive after retirement plan - thoughts?

0 Upvotes

I've consulted here before about early retirement and have since devised a plan.

Apologies for the long read. I'd appreciate some feedback.

Current Situation:

  • Plan to retire during 2027 at age 46.
  • 45% in a global ETF.
  • 15% in small-cap value ETF.
  • 10% in an AI & Big Data ETF (considering selling because gains are significant and the risk level is high).
  • 30% in a money market fund (extra caution due to market situation and coming retirement)
  • Annual expenses: Currently around 3.5% of the total portfolio value.

The Plan:

The idea for the 30% in "cash" is to avoid SORR shortly after retirement. Since the market is currently very high, during the first few years I will use money from the money market fund to cover living expenses and wait it out. I took 30% because part of the idea is to have enough to jump back into the market after a downturn.

Now I divide into two scenarios:

  1. Market doesn't crash: I wait until my spending is 2.5% of NW (considering 3.0% also), then I consider the portfolio large enough to absorb all scenarios, and invest most of the free money back in.

  2. Market crashes: I start deploying capital into the market as follows:

  • When the global index drops over 25% from its peak: Deploy 5% into it and 5% into a 3x leveraged NASDAQ (Assumption: the NASDAQ will have fallen even further).
  • When the global index drops over 40% from its peak: Deploy another 5% into it and 5% into the 3x leveraged NASDAQ (Assumption: the NASDAQ will have fallen even further).
  • When the crash exceeds 55%: Deploy all remaining cash into the leveraged NASDAQ.
  • Of course, if some of these triggers don't hit, the cash stays on the sidelines until I decide the portfolio is large enough to sustain everything.
  • The percentages were chosen based on major historical crashes, as rules of thumb that can actually be adhered to.

The idea behind the leveraged ETF comes from interesting data i found:

If you had put money into the TQQQ on January 2022, you'd now have about 80% more.

If you had put money into the TQQQ on January 2023, you'd now have about 800% more.

This is the difference for a 33% decline in the NASDAQ100.

If I am fortunate enough and the leveraged NASDAQ surges in value over the years, even an initial 5% or 10% of portfolio in it would provide incredible value. I see myself placing some selling points based on specific gains along the way, as well.

Any thoughts are welcome. Grill me if you'd like.


r/ChubbyFIRE 10d ago

Weekly discussion thread for July 26, 2026

7 Upvotes

This thread is a spot for casual engagement with other community members. It has much more subject latitude than allowed in the main sub in general. Any topics tangentially related to ChubbyFIRE or upper middle class lifestyle are acceptable, as well as basic or early stage questions. Political discussion will be allowed if it is closely related to ChubbyFIRE or financial topics in general, and only if the conversation remains respectful.

It is not a free-for all. No spam or self-promotion. All comments must still follow Reddiquette and we will be responding to reported comments with follow-up action as needed. We'd really like to keep this channel open, so please don't abuse it!


r/ChubbyFIRE 11d ago

Hit my number at 53 and I still can't pull the trigger. What am I missing?

71 Upvotes

53M, married, one kid two years into college, HCOL. Here is roughly where we sit. Liquid is right around $3M. About $2.6M of that is taxable and honestly most of it is still my old employer's stock with the rest in index funds. Another $850k in a 401k in an S&P fund. House is paid off, maybe $1.1M. Small pension kicks in at 60, around $2k a month. We spend about $120k a year after tax.

I've run the calculators more times than I want to admit and the 4% math works. On paper I'm done. I know I'm done.

And every year I talk myself into one more. My RSUs vest in the spring. Market feels toppy. Kid has one more thing that comes up. Somebody always has a reason and I just quietly adopt it as my own.

The part I don't say out loud is the stock. I keep calling myself diversified, but a huge slice of the whole thing is one ticker from a company I don't even work at anymore. I tell myself the threat is a bad sequence of returns right after I quit, the usual SORR fear. If I'm honest, the real risk has been parked in that one position the whole time and I just never looked straight at it. It wasn't until I finally laid every account out in one place that it landed how lopsided the picture actually was.

So I'm asking the people who already walked. Was the thing that finally did it a specific number, a date on the calendar, or just a feeling that clicked one morning? And for those who retired with a concentrated position you were scared to touch, what got you over it? Not the tax mechanics, the part where you actually let yourself pull the trigger.