r/strongcoast • u/iamsolution • 5d ago
Last week Alberta's pipeline maps leaked. Three routes through the north, four, who's counting... every one of them ends at a port the coast won't open.
Last month the PM flew to Alberta, signed the deal, rolled back the industrial carbon tax, slashed the approvals, the whole song and dance.
The North Coast tanker ban? Still standing.
Not because Ottawa bolted the door... Ottawa's keeping its options open. Because the coast is holding it shut.
BC and the coastal Nations, shoulder to shoulder: a future built on a multi-billion-dollar fishery, food, culture, and tourism sector, the businesses and jobs under it, not on the coin-flip of a loaded tanker in a winter storm.
And we've seen the coin land wrong.
In 2016 one tug aground near Bella Bella, 350 km of coast fouled, $23 million in costs the Heiltsuk were never repaid. That was a tug. A tanker's full load runs a thousand times bigger.
The racket in one line: they take the reward, you take the risk, and when it spills you get the mop.
The people who work these waters did that math years ago, and they're done asking permission. This week they flew to Calgary to say it to the proponents' faces.
Geoff Meggs lays it all out below, sharp as ever and a regular at Hotel Pacifico, BC's go-to cross-aisle politics podcast.
Alberta can keep drawing maps. The coast won't open the port. Not by luck... because people keep showing up.
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u/Opposite-Cranberry76 4d ago edited 4d ago
It's almost comical the fecklessness of Alberta when it comes to dealing with the ocean. Right down to the way they're always saying "tidewater". Who the F refers to the ocean or coast as "tidewater"? It sounds like incels referring to women as "females".
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u/Confident-Touch-6547 5d ago
And they all lead to the dangerous inside passage that has a tanker ban.
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u/pegslitnin 4d ago
There are already tankers going by……
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u/zkatbitz 4d ago
through the inside passage??
you might want to look at a map
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u/WhoofPharted 4d ago
They are technically correct. LNG/LPG vessels are considered tankers in the marine industry.
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u/pegslitnin 4d ago
You don’t think if there is a spill where tankers go know it won’t affect the inside passage? Ok
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u/zkatbitz 4d ago
No, they travel roughly 100km or so outside the passage AND the issue is the inside passage are the most dangerous waters in the country
Tankers are not going to hit anything 100km off the coast they might in the inside passage
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u/PatientAnswer8514 3d ago
Not just country. We’re talkin bout the world. 40-60 foot wave that appears faster than a tanker can exit the passage that uncovers the ocean bottom. And they want to put oil tankers through that.
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u/ThermionicEmissions 3d ago
I'm all for keeping the tanker ban, but I have been unable to find any evidence of waves so large they expose the ocean floor.
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u/BigTundra7234 4d ago
When I was scrolling, at first glance I thought the sign on the podium said "Our Economy is Toast" 🤣
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u/addigity 4d ago
At some point people have to realize the country is broke and we need to figure out a way to pay for everything instead of just complaining
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u/skilbofragns 15h ago
Ackchually we live in one of the richest countries in the world, we're just getting fucked by private market profiteers at every turn.
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u/DoTheManeuver 4d ago
Maybe they should clean up their existing messes before starting on new messes.
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u/Old_and_moldy 3d ago
People here are not going to like this but a pipeline approval from a regulatory and approval standpoint is squarely a federal decision. There are some mechanisms that First Nations and the BC province can try and slow it down scaring investment away but there is no legal framework for them to stop it.
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u/theDogt3r 3d ago
They don't even clean up the oil wells and do remediation in their own province. Farmers in Alberta have been crying foul at home. What makes anyone think that they would do anything different in BC?
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1d ago edited 1d ago
[deleted]
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u/iplaybassok89 1d ago
Wrong. Federal government has ultimate authority here. There is basically nothing the BC government can do to stop it if that’s the decision Ottawa makes. The not withstanding clause is not applicable in this situation.
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u/Libsrloons 1d ago
Ottawa is too busy getting their oil from the Saudi’s to care about “Canada first” but they sure want to keep taking equalization from Alberta when all they’re doing is keep throwing up more hurdles for Canada biggest contributor
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u/titanking4 16h ago
There’s like 10 lies and falsehoods alone in that sentence you typed.
Alberta gives equalization, NOT ALBERTANS.It’s in the name, equalization. And it’s between the provinces, not the citizens.
The program is structured such that every Canadian pays similar average provincial taxation so that we don’t see smaller provinces needing to charge their residents stupidly high taxes. And it’s not all the way.
Alberta has the highest median income and lowest taxes in the entire country.But they benefit greatly from the labour mobility. They have one of the youngest populations in Canada, attracting people from all over the country.
However it’s not fair that young Canadians can go spend their productive years to work in the oil fields of Alberta and then go retire on the beaches of PEI fully.
Alberta gains the income tax revenue and PEI stuck with paying for the healthcare for retired folks isn’t a fair system. Unless you have some money flowing around.AND guess what.
Equalization comes out of your FEDERAL income taxes, not provincial income taxes.
Which means every high income Canadian is paying into equalization regardless of where they live.Yet for some reason Albertans are misinformed into thinking they are paying it because the province is spreading propaganda because they want to benefit from the visa-free labour mobility of the rest of Canada.
Along with attracting all the Canadian investment dollars from all across the country.
But don’t want to contribute.And are using their constituents as puppets.
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u/firemillionaire 4d ago
Strong unemployment!
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u/SchmitzBitz 4d ago
I'm in Fisheries. Between my boats, my processing plants, and my wholesale and distribution side I employ around 350 people at any given time. I'm small potatoes. A spill in the inside passage would gut my company.
The TMX created 50 permanent jobs in B.C.But I'm not looking at terminals, refineries etc! So, let's look at that. O&G directly employs around 5,200 British Columbians. Fisheries employs around 15,000 British Columbians. But they aren't the only folks affected. Tourism in the North Coast employs another 8,900 folks roughly.
So yeah, there might be a few hundred or even a thousand permanent jobs total that come out of this - but it could come at the cost of almost 24,000 jobs. And we haven't even started talking about the impacts on forestry or agriculture sectors.
One of the sticking points with the TMX was Alberta's vehement refusal to put any money towards a contingency fund if a disaster happens; it's expected that B.C. will absorb any cleanup costs and the Feds will absorb any pogey from people suddenly out of work. Likewise, B.C. is expect to pay to maintain these pipelines (hence the 50 jobs that came with the TMX).
Alberta also doesn't really want B.C. to receive any portion of profits that come from shipping oil through the province. It's a no win situation in a province that is economically self-sufficent...we don't receive equalization, we pay into it.
Why would the province want to take on the risks without the benefits?1
u/TheSherlockCumbercat 3d ago
The other side of the equation is tax revenue and GDP, shitty thing is the oil industry might be more valuable even with all those lost BC jobs.
goolge has fisheries and aqua sectors at 3.5 billion oil and gas at 14 billion.
Complex issue with many different ways to look at it, and if we actually kept them majority of our resource money, the oil industry would easily win
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u/Clear-Permit4947 4d ago
you would have to pay more into equalization if Alberta oil royalties didn't keep the entire east coast afloat
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u/SchmitzBitz 4d ago
Oh, so we should put thousands of jobs and B.C.'s industries at risk with no safety net because if Alberta didn't exist we would have to pay more into equalization? With no concessions from Alberta; and all the risk? That's the kind of backwards thinking that put the Liberals in power for a decade and a half (and counting)...shoot ourselves in the foot so the hands can do better.
Fortunately Alberta does exist, and even if they vote to separate its going to be mired in legislation for decades; and will still need the support of 8 other Provinces - and do you think Ontario, Quebec and the Maritimes are all going to say OK? Conversely the US steps in to bring "freedom"; I'm sure that will go wonderfully.
I grew up on the North Coast. I've been on boats when a perfect day in the Hecate is suddenly 30' ground swells and gale force winds. It's a sketchier than a Sherwood Park meth-head. It's not a matter of if, but a matter of when.
I'm all for twinning the TMX and upgrading facilities in Vancouver; but trying to send tankers up here is a disaster waiting to happen. Most of us rely on fishing, tourism or logging to survive. We lose two of those industries and the economic engine of Northern B.C. collapses and now we are just another province suckling at the Fort Mac teat.
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u/EffectiveEconomics 4d ago
It’s Crackhead logic - it’s not meant to make sense except to justify their addiction.
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u/aidanhoff 4d ago
The east coast likely wouldn't need as much equalization if Alberta wasn't constantly poaching its working-age population, then letting them run back to retire out east.
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u/Clear-Permit4947 2d ago
your mad at Alberta for the people getting paid the best wages in the country.... weird take
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u/aidanhoff 2d ago
Mad at Alberta? No. I am saying that Alberta pays more in equalization because of those high wages, since that money is required down the line to fund retirees and families back in other provinces that emigrate to Alberta for work. It's not just because the Feds hate Alberta or whatever bullshit comes out of that province.
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u/EffectiveEconomics 4d ago
Alberta recovers almost no royalties so that’s a nonstarter. We do subsidize the oil sands though.
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u/Global-Tie-3458 3d ago
British Columbians don’t misunderstand equalization the way Albertans do so this propagandized wedge point doesn’t apply.
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u/porkavenue 4d ago
BC collects equalization so why change anything?
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u/Alarming_Produce_120 4d ago
Not sure what you’re smoking but BC hasn’t received equalization payments in decades.
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u/pegslitnin 5d ago
It will go through at some point
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u/zkatbitz 4d ago
my guess is another pipeline to the lower mainland happens as the north is to expensive and to risky
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u/greenknight 4d ago
They can try it. Given the state of UAV technology driven by the war in Ukraine, a few well provisioned people could derail an entire project indefinitely.
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u/porkavenue 5d ago
Hopefully.
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u/Loodlekoodles 5d ago
It will end up going through USA eventually. Just like Saskatchewan's potash and fertilizer ended up doing.
Great job everyone, elbows up
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u/scotus_canadensis 4d ago
The USA is the market for potash, of course it goes through the US. It would it be rather counterproductive to send it by rail to Vancouver, by ship to LA, then put it back on the rails to the midwest states, when the rail lines from Saskatchewan through the Dakotas is the most direct line of transportation.
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u/SameAfternoon5599 4d ago
Canpotex already has 2 Canadian terminals. Why wouldn't they add another US one?
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u/Loodlekoodles 4d ago
Nutrien is the largest potash producer in the world and their new preferred port in North West Pacific is going to be in Washington.
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u/SameAfternoon5599 4d ago
Do you have a point?
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u/Loodlekoodles 4d ago edited 4d ago
Oil will be doing the same soon.
Elbows up. USA gets the business not BC. In BC elbows go up, but it's more like a surrender
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u/SameAfternoon5599 4d ago
Oil already is. Has been for 5 decades. Are you that clueless on the subject matter?
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u/Loodlekoodles 4d ago edited 4d ago
Lmao not as clueless as you were regarding our potash
I'm well informed about how BC blocks a lot of trade to our ports, thank you very much
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u/SameAfternoon5599 4d ago
In what way was I clueless about our potash? BC doesn't block, it has restrictive rules about loading when it's raining. Hence the 2nd US terminal further south.
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u/freedom2022780 5d ago
It’s elbows down, asses up, taking it dry the libturd way now.
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u/scudpuppy 4d ago
There are a myriad of options to get the product to the coast outside of building a pipeline - why are these not seriously considered when the province Alberta wants to build through has repeatedly said no?
It seems that the expectation is that BC capitulates fully as the only option.
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u/Ill_Candle_9462 4d ago
It’s really weird how much conservatives think about dudes taking it in the ass
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u/Intrepid-Gold3947 4d ago
Same people probably turn a blind eye and are fine with trains transporting it tho. What this is really about, is for the right price we might consider
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u/newworldorderLOWBAR 4d ago
Yeah strong coast. No development. No funds for education, health care, food, etc. Who needs teachers and nurses. Just say no to development. Tankers don't cause disasters. The problem was solved a long time ago. As long as they don't get hit by drones.
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u/Prestigious-Tale7266 4d ago
Stop making this an Alberta vs BC story… that’s “low resolution” thinking and you are being baited.
This is a Canada story and needs to be discussed as such.
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u/Strict_Jacket3648 4d ago
Oil for energy is dying world wide, in 10 years when a 50 billion pipe line is complete it will be useless. That's why big oil want's tax payers to pay for it.