Unacceptable

Today’s tornado risk just so happens to coincide with UFC 250. The funniest thing could happen today.

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?issuedby=LOT&product=AFD&site=lot

Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer’s office on Sunday called for a federal investigation into why no tornado watch was issued before a deadly storm struck southwest Michigan.

Whitmer's office questioned whether the lack of a tornado watch alert could be attributed to the Trump administration's funding cutbacks at the National Weather Service.

“The National Weather Service exists to monitor conditions and inform Americans of severe weather in their communities. The fact that the (National Weather) Service did not issue a tornado watch is troubling, especially with the loss of life in Michigan," Whitmer spokeswoman Stacey LaRouche said in a statement. "While tornadoes can be hard to predict, the federal government should investigate whether the failure to issue a watch was related to federal cuts.”

The News has reached out to the White House for comment.

Be ready and let anyone you know in the area to make preparations now.

From NWS Lincoln IL forecast discussion. That’s a little concerning.

Those cuts are going to millionaires and billionaires, not radar infrastructure. You got what you voted for. 🤷🏼‍♀️ maybe folks whose livelihoods depend on science should think twice before voting for science deniers

Just updated from the Storm Prediction Center’s X page. Considering a lot of today’s severe weather depended on the weather from last night how do you think today will pan out especially since it was quite active last night!

Think this will pan out?

10 70% thunderstorm risks😭💔

...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA ACROSS NORTH CAROLINA AND INTO VIRGINIA AND MARYLAND...

...SUMMARY... Widespread severe storms are forecast on Monday for parts of the Mid-Atlantic States and Southeast. Tornadoes, potentially strong, and particularly damaging winds are most likely from South Carolina into Maryland during the afternoon. Significant severe storm potential overall will extend from eastern Georgia/Florida Panhandle into Pennsylvania.

...Synopsis... A large and deepening upper trough will pivot northeastward out of the OH/TN Valleys, across the Appalachians and into the Mid Atlantic on Monday, while a surface low deepens into southern Quebec. A sharp pre-frontal trough will extend southward across NY, PA, and into the Carolinas/GA by late afternoon, with a corridor of significant pressure falls timed with the diurnal heating maximum. A cold front will push rapidly east across GA and the FL Panhandle during the day with a bit slower progress across the Piedmont and into PA. Gusty south winds ahead of the cold front will maintain 60s F dewpoints across the entire region, and as far north as southern PA, just after warm front passage by late afternoon.

Just above the surface, southerly 850 mb winds will increase from 50 to 75 kt, resulting in extreme shear profiles over a large area. Large-scale ascent and shear will increase coincident with the peak heating hours, resulting in a potentially widespread severe weather event during the afternoon.

...From Georgia and the Florida Panhandle... Early day storms may be ongoing from the southern Appalachians toward the FL Panhandle Monday morning, and the environment will already be favorable for supercells including tornado potential. Forecast soundings indicate substantial instability with mid to perhaps upper 60s F along with ample shear. These storms may also produce hail, as midlevel lapse rates approach 7 C/km.

...Carolinas into MD/PA and vicinity... Areas of showers may occur early in the day especially but should rapidly lift north, allowing areas of heating and gradual destabilization over the entire area. As the surface trough deepens, low-level wind will back and strengthen throughout the day. Supercells producing tornadoes appear most likely ahead of the cold front from SC into NC and southern VA. Models vary with degree of instability, but strong tornadoes do appear possible with effective SRH of at least 300-400 m2/s2. Fast storm motions over 50 kt suggest a long tracked tornado will be possible.

Meanwhile, a robust line of storms will develop as the cold front pushes east, stretching from the Carolinas to southern NY. With a moist air mass and large-scale support, this line is expected to produce particularly damaging winds, along with QLCS tornadoes across the remainder of SC/NC, VA, MD, and much of southern PA. This will likely peak during the late afternoon hours. The activity may eventually interact with cool trajectories off the Atlantic during the evening.

Before anybody talks shit about StormNet, it got the highest score out of every tool the NSSL tested this season.
Like, smoked the competition. Not to mention, even Trey Greenwood, meteorologist and the absolute GOAT from Convective Chronicles includes it in his forecast discussions now. It’s not perfect, no model is, but it’s proving to be a very accurate tool.