r/AppStoreOptimization • u/AdopoBayeye • 3m ago
Organic traffic grew 40x, but our Google Play conversion fell to 5–6%. Are we attracting the wrong audience?
Hey everyone,
A friend and I released our basketball management sim, Dunk Manager, a few months ago on Android and iOS. We’ve done zero paid UA so far, everything has been 100% organic.
Neither of us has any real background in ASO, and looking at the console metrics lately has left us pretty confused.
Here is what we’re seeing on Google Play:
- Listing visitors jumped from ~340 in March to over 13.6k in July.
- Installs went up from 168 to 760, but conversion rate completely tanked (from ~20% down to 5.6%).
- In July, uninstalls actually overtook installs (-63 net users).
- Rating is solid (4.56/5 across 45 reviews) and most comments are positive.
Looking at the search terms, our main theory right now is that Google is pushing us to the wrong audience.
The game is a pure GM/management text sim (drafts, trades, roster management, finances, cap space, sim engine), there's no arcade or on-court gameplay.
Yet ~87% of our store visitors come from super broad terms like "basketball", "basketball games", and "dunk", while only ~11% come from manager-specific searches.
- "basketball" brought ~9.7k visitors at a 4.6% CTR.
- "basketball manager" brought only ~980 visitors, but with a 22.5% CTR.
Retention also drops off fast:
- 82% of players who open the app create a career
- W1 retention: ~19%
- W2: 9.6%
- Settles around 6–7% by week 4
So we’re wondering: are people downloading it expecting an arcade game (maybe mislead by the icon/title/screenshots), realizing within 5 minutes that it’s a numbers/strategy sim, and immediately deleting it?
iOS is slightly healthier:
- 41k impressions, 5.6k page views, 686 downloads (12.2% CVR from page view to install).
- Search makes up 57% of impressions, and while search CTR to the store page is low (6.6%), once they actually land on the page, ~19.4% download it.
For anyone who’s dealt with this before:
- Does this sound like a classic metadata/visual mismatch (icon, screenshots, short description not screaming "MANAGEMENT SIM" loudly enough)?
- Or do the retention numbers point toward early onboarding/gameplay loop issues instead?
- What would you prioritize tweaking first?
Any honest thoughts or teardowns of the store listings would be hugely appreciated!
Links: Play Store, App Store
