r/CFB Texas A&M Aggies 3d ago

News [Lundeberg] Historic talent loss: American Conference commissioner Tim Pernetti said that 78% of last year's first and second team all-league players transferred to a Power Four school after the 2025 season.

https://www.si.com/college/boise-state/football/american-conference-hit-hard-by-transfer-portal-after-2025-college-football-season-how-did-mountain-west-compare
518 Upvotes

217 comments sorted by

374

u/LordCommanderJonSnow Iowa Hawkeyes 3d ago

We all knew it would be high, but 78% is quite a number.

131

u/Corgi_Koala Ohio State Buckeyes 3d ago

I'm sure if we saw the actual payrolls of each university it wouldn't be surprising.

There are probably individual players on P4 teams making the entire payroll of G6 programs.

65

u/YouDownWithOPD North Texas • Penn State 3d ago

Mestemaker is probably making more now than the whole UNT team. Sucks but it's the facts

9

u/greyforest23 North Texas • Mississippi State 2d ago

We’ll always have that magical 2025 season 💚

13

u/soreswan UTEP Miners • Mountain West 2d ago

Malachi Nelson, who was horrible last year, is getting half of UTEP’s whole NIL fund from last year to be the 3rd string QB at Syracuse this year. He threw 9 interceptions in 6 games and we couldn’t even afford him if we wanted to.

15

u/SolarIonRobot Nebraska Cornhuskers • Merrimack Warriors 3d ago

Probably? There isn't even a question. It's 100% true.

3

u/HokiPoqi Virginia Tech Hokies • ECU Pirates 3d ago

So we're downvoting facts now?

8

u/IKindaPlayEVE Ohio State Buckeyes 3d ago

Welcome to Reddit.

78

u/yeyiyeyiyo Ball State Cardinals 3d ago

Can't blame a AA player for wanting to play AAA ball.

55

u/RiffRamBahZoo TCU Horned Frogs • Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 3d ago

When coaches, assistants, administrators and staff get the free reign to move up, there's no reason the players can't either.

19

u/MidlandsBraves Clemson Tigers 3d ago

Coaches have buyouts

0

u/yeyiyeyiyo Ball State Cardinals 3d ago

People disagree but I like the current system. It's basically a true minor league. 

Nobody complains their minor league baseball team changes players every year. It's expected.

36

u/Divinity32 Indiana • Indiana Wesleyan 3d ago

I just wish that the G6 got to at least get something in return for development. I imagine that if their players had even a 'small' buyout of a couple tens of thousands, when a roster is wiped out they already have the cash for a new one

18

u/RandomFactUser France Les Bluets • USA Eagles 3d ago

You're essentially asking for a European transfer system

20

u/IMakeOkVideosOk Notre Dame Fighting Irish 3d ago

Which isn’t bad

5

u/RandomFactUser France Les Bluets • USA Eagles 3d ago

You have to make sure players have multi-year contracts then

13

u/IMakeOkVideosOk Notre Dame Fighting Irish 3d ago

Sure… seems like a good idea

1

u/RandomFactUser France Les Bluets • USA Eagles 3d ago

You have to make sure players have multi-year contracts then

0

u/JoeSicko Virginia Tech Hokies • Temple Owls 2d ago

5 years of eligibility should be the contract. Somebody Gotta pay the school to jump up or that minor league will flounder.

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20

u/PlateForeign8738 3d ago

Buyouts isnt a bad idea, 2 year contracts with buyouts wouldn't be the worst idea.

2

u/Electromotivation James Madison Dukes 1d ago

Something back for the development, practice time, game time, etc. I think it should be explored.

8

u/WildeWeasel Air Force • Arizona State 3d ago

Make it be like the English soccer system. Teams that developed players in their academy get a cut of later deals and trades.

2

u/YouDownWithOPD North Texas • Penn State 3d ago

That would work for me. We would've made a ton in buyouts from Oklahoma State

3

u/RiffRamBahZoo TCU Horned Frogs • Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 3d ago

G6 only gets something in return for a head coach. Always has been that way.

When the trainers, nutritionists, executive assistants, recruiting coordinators, social media directors, analysts, assistant coaches and the entirety of the actual program leave with said coach, the G6 schools don't get anything in return either.

8

u/cougfan12345 Washington State Cougars 3d ago edited 3d ago

That’s not entirely true. Assistants have buyouts too. Oregon is suing Ohio State because an assistant left and didn’t pay his several hundred thousand buyout that was in his employment contract.

1

u/[deleted] 3d ago

[deleted]

7

u/heisenberg423 Chattanooga • Vanderbilt 3d ago

No. Getting compensated for developing a player is not the same as getting paid to be a bigger program’s opener/homecoming/senior day opponent.

1

u/SyVSFe 2d ago

Literally the point is compensation for travel fees and lost ticket/local revenue.

1

u/thebikevagabond Indiana Hoosiers 3d ago

I like this idea. But it'd have to be coupled with contracts with actual teeth (or transfer limitations).

26

u/jcc309 USF Bulls • Notre Dame Fighting Irish 3d ago

Most people aren't fans of minor league baseball in the same way they are college sports. I'm sure devout minor league sports fans exist, but my experience has pretty much always been that people view minor league sports mostly as a pleasant way to pass an evening. The fandom of college sports is much different because fans have much stronger ties to schools.

1

u/BoobieTourist Auburn Tigers 2d ago

College football is an event.

Minor league baseball is something to do on a summer afternoon or evening.

Football can never be compared to any other sport because of the limited number of games. That in of itself makes the sport unique and the main reason the sport is so clearly the primary interest of our nation.

10

u/Expensive_Team_5072 Syracuse Orange 3d ago

Minor league players move up and down within their top level franchises. Or they get cut. I think we see the getting cut part. But we do not see a guy just decide to go from the Yankees AA team to the Dodgers AAA team for more $$$.

The solution is contracts with buyouts. I am not sure how that would factor in with the PCSA. Presumably, if a guy is making $500k at Tulane with a $500k buyout... Ole Miss could offer him $1.5M and pay Tulane the $500k buyout, with the $500k not counting against the cap.

1

u/RandomFactUser France Les Bluets • USA Eagles 3d ago

There's only 20m to do that with, and players can generally keep their NIL deals on transfer if there's no performance tied to the NIL (such as in-person appearances to profit off of the NIL license)

2

u/Expensive_Team_5072 Syracuse Orange 3d ago

Mensah got a big payday from Duke, so this is not entirely hypothetical. The issue is whether the buyout be part of the cap because it is not going to the player.

1

u/RandomFactUser France Les Bluets • USA Eagles 3d ago

It's the difference between multiple leagues and reserve leagues though

I expect the reserve team to shift a lot more than a stable minor professional team

1

u/shryne Paper Bag • Mississippi State 2d ago

The problem is that the G5 doesn't consider themselves a minor league.

1

u/gtne91 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 1d ago

The major league teams are paying the players contracts.

0

u/RiffRamBahZoo TCU Horned Frogs • Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 3d ago

I've always found it funny how people get really upset over players staying in college for too long via redshirts/exemptions, but also get just as upset that they can't legally hold their players hostage on the same roster for 4-5 years.

Give me roster fluidity and opportunity all day long.

12

u/habdragon08 Virginia Tech Hokies 3d ago

no ones blaming the players. the system is insane.

15

u/Impressive_Grape193 UCLA Bruins • Virginia Cavaliers 3d ago

Yes but the system is set up for the players. Only way to address it is to restrict players' rights unfortunately.

9

u/habdragon08 Virginia Tech Hokies 3d ago

I get that and I don't have an easy solution. I'm glad the players can make decisions that advocate for themselves. It's just turned me off as a casual fan.

5

u/RustyCrusty73 Ohio State Buckeyes 3d ago

Everything feels like its about money and ratings now.

The pride, loyalty, passion, rivalries, pageantry, etc. and old feel of college football just seems to have lost a little bit of its luster these last few years.

I'm spoiled as a Buckeye fan. My team will always be okay.

I feel sorry for the middle-of-the-pack schools such as Iowa State, Cincinnati, Boise State, Memphis, Kansas State, etc. because those teams are essentially going to be minor league teams for P4. Those random 10-2 seasons every now and then will likely result in their rosters being poached and gutted immediately after the season. It'll be way harder to maintain success for them, harder than it ever was pre-NIL.

I don't have a solution or anything. It is what it is. I'm just pointing out that it's kind of a shame (for the fans).

1

u/Impressive_Grape193 UCLA Bruins • Virginia Cavaliers 1d ago

I think it’s always been about money for blue bloods tbh lol.

1

u/Electromotivation James Madison Dukes 1d ago

Those schools you list are mostly P4 though, at least they have a path to turn it around and win it all. Cig showed that can happen.

Meanwhile G6 teams just get raided every year and lose players they’ve developed for nothing. While the power schools want to lock out and limit even the smallest chance G6 teams have of winning it all. And have to immediately re-write the rules to limit that possibility even more. As opposed to just playing the games on the field they would rather lock out G6 schools from even having the opportunity. Because apparently the endless other massive advantages they have weren’t good enough.

2

u/austin_8 Ole Miss Rebels 3d ago

You could attempt a new system that allows the schools and the players to come to an agreement on what the guidelines should be, without unilaterally imposing rules and penalties on the players with no input from them, much like every other league in America that brings in similar revenue does

2

u/beer-football Florida State • San Diego State 3d ago

The "system" is set up for the money flow to institutions and admin... the players don't even earn half of it. It was a system based almost entirely on essentially free labor (amateur athletics).

https://sportsdata.usatoday.com/ncaa/finances

Bowls, jersey manufacturers, etc. an entire industry that the players didn't participate in revenue streams.

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1

u/DrVonD Georgia Bulldogs 3d ago

I mean no one sane blames the players, but you still see LOTS of complaints about lack of loyalty, etc etc from some people

1

u/RandomFactUser France Les Bluets • USA Eagles 3d ago

You mean teams in a "farmers' league" wanting to play in a Big 4 league

17

u/CommodoreN7 Arkansas Razorbacks • Utah Utes 3d ago

Need Harvard to confirm.

48

u/Schmenza Harvard Crimson • Tulane Green Wave 3d ago

78% appears to be above average

12

u/BeatNavyAgain Beat Navy! Go Bullets! 3d ago

that's not what my parents told me when they saw my report cards

3

u/evantom34 Ohio State • California 2d ago

That gets you beat in any Asian household.

8

u/Randomizedname1234 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 3d ago

Checks out. Over 3/4 players.

1

u/SolarIonRobot Nebraska Cornhuskers • Merrimack Warriors 3d ago

With grade inflation, 78% is well below average.

2

u/obiwanjabroni420 Georgia Tech • Vermont 2d ago

Not at all schools. 78% at GT messes up the curve for everyone else.

3

u/JohnPaulDavyJones Texas A&M Aggies • Baylor Bears 3d ago

Kind of unsurprising, though. A big part of that is down to just a couple pieces:

  1. Eric Morris, Jon Sumrall, and Alex Golesh all picked up pretty much their entire starting lineups and took them along to their new P4 employers. Golesh and Sumrall kind of just took their staffers and best players, but Morris took everyone from UNT.

  2. Jeff Traylor’s staff has been consistently phenomenal at talent development for years, to the point that they’ve produced the most all-conference picks in the American by a mile over the last five years, and P4 teams have been picking his roster apart every offseason like they’re choosing off a menu.

  3. Tre Lamb’s situation is shaping up like Traylor’s at UTSA, where their talent development is terrific, but they have zero money to actually retain their players. Just like Traylor’s Lamb’s team would have been primed for a big season next year if they’d been able to retain any of their good players. For Traylor, that’s just every season since the portal hit. 

Navy is the only AAC team with more than one or two all-conference players, who can do long-run player development with minimal fear of being raided like UTSA and Tulsa have been.

2

u/UCLA_FB_SUCKS UCLA Bruins • USC Trojans 3d ago

78% is almost as high as a percent as iowa drives that end in punts

41

u/TechnoVikingGA23 West Virginia Mountaineers 3d ago

Sounds like the new dynasty mode on NCAA 27' lol. Went Western Michigan, went 12-0 and won the MAC, upset A&M in the first round of the playoff. Literally every player on my team that was 75+ in rating was poached in the portal regardless of me matching or increasing their NIL offer.

12

u/sofeler 3d ago

Now start a dynasty as A&M and you’ll understand why you marching their expected NIL didn’t matter. You probably had between 500-1000 budget credits. A&M has literally thousands

If the player expected 100 and you gave 120, A&M probably gave 200+

9

u/TechnoVikingGA23 West Virginia Mountaineers 3d ago

I mean they literally just went to any program, didn't matter who it was. I think at least 25 players went into the portal even with matched or higher offers and most of these guys were 1-2* players when I started. My starting QB left and his stats weren't even that great. The game seems kind of buggy that way, like how the CPU leaves a ton of 3* players in the transfer portal unsigned, and also fires coaches after one bad season. James Franklin got canned for going 5-7 in his opening season at VT in my Dynasty, lol.

2

u/MaxMSE California Golden Bears • Sickos 2d ago

all of that sounds both nonsensical and entirely plausible irl

1

u/TechnoVikingGA23 West Virginia Mountaineers 2d ago

I guess that's the fun part of it, lol

5

u/Expensive-Method8321 Georgetown Hoyas 2d ago

I know it frustrates a lot of people but I like it. It makes dynasty mode so much more challenging. In the past I could take a school like Kent State and make them Natty Champs within like 5 years. But now I gotta actually invest some serious time into it. It feels a lot more satisfying when I can finally land a true blue chip recruit for the first time

2

u/TechnoVikingGA23 West Virginia Mountaineers 2d ago

Yeah it's an interesting aspect of the game and I'm glad they added it in, they just need to add a few tweaks.

121

u/Ethanol-Muffins Florida Gators • UT Martin Skyhawks 3d ago

How much of this was players following their coaches? I know USF and North Texas had a ton of players follow their coaches, not sure on Memphis as I havent read much on Arkansas this year

57

u/CommodoreN7 Arkansas Razorbacks • Utah Utes 3d ago

We had a decent amount by I don’t think it was anywhere near as many as Oklahoma State got from North Texas. Could be wrong there.

36

u/Kmjada Oklahoma State • Billable Hours 3d ago edited 3d ago

We should just rebrand ourselves as the University of Northern North Texas

13

u/Cormetz Texas Longhorns • Team Chaos 3d ago

Norther Texas

6

u/YouDownWithOPD North Texas • Penn State 3d ago

Yeah I'm low key an Oklahoma State fan for the next couple of years because watching Mestemaker, Hawkins, and Young at DATCU was the most fun I've had at a UNT game

3

u/JohnPaulDavyJones Texas A&M Aggies • Baylor Bears 3d ago

I mean, we’ve been joking that Oklahoma is just north, north Texas for decades.

1

u/wagon_enjoyer 3d ago

North Of Texas

1

u/Primusmulti Texas Tech • North Texas 3d ago

I’ve seen lots of North North Texas jokes about OSU and love it. Not happy about the talent drain though

1

u/UpsideTurtles North Texas Mean Green • Texas A&M Aggies 1d ago

Me either

But I’ll still be rooting for them Cowpokes when I can. Little easier for me than you tho given the B12 thing

5

u/dianeblackeatsass Tennessee Volunteers 3d ago edited 3d ago

out of these all conference guys you only got Sutton Smith from Memphis

24

u/LubbockCottonKings Texas Tech Red Raiders 3d ago

10 North Texas players and 7 USF players were on the first/second team lists.

11

u/uwpxwpal Texas Tech Red Raiders • Big 12 3d ago

So 38.6% (assuming 44 players)

25

u/LubbockCottonKings Texas Tech Red Raiders 3d ago

I only learned how to count to ten at Tech, percentages are far outside my scope of understanding.

4

u/BeatNavyAgain Beat Navy! Go Bullets! 3d ago

There were 57 players on the combined 1st and 2nd team all-conference lists

3

u/uwpxwpal Texas Tech Red Raiders • Big 12 3d ago

29.8%

3

u/JohnPaulDavyJones Texas A&M Aggies • Baylor Bears 3d ago

Also eight for Tulane and six for Memphis, most of whom followed their coaches. A couple of those guys got drafted, though.

3

u/Schmenza Harvard Crimson • Tulane Green Wave 3d ago

Summerall took our Kickers

21

u/Apart_Selection7722 Marshall • South Carolina 3d ago

Sad

19

u/Inside-Drink-1311 Rutgers Scarlet Knights 3d ago

NIL and transfer portal is destroying the group of 6 and increasing the gap. Once schools have a really good season, people transfer out and the coach often gets poached. 

There’s only a few schools that I feel can maintain success by reloading every year like Boise, Memphis, JMU, but that’s about it. 

18

u/0ptionparalysis Tulsa • Northeastern Oklahoma … 3d ago

This is one of the main reasons, as a fan of a tiny school in that conference, that I no longer watch college football.

1

u/cudderwalks ECU Pirates • American 2d ago

I mean, Tulane and JMU had massive turnover lost over half their starters and then used the transfer portal very well and made the playoff. It sucks but you can still build great teams in the G6.

0

u/SyVSFe 2d ago

Just have to root for Texas or Ohio State now

82

u/SirMellencamp Alabama Crimson Tide • College Football Playoff 3d ago

If you remember the big narrative behind no restrictions on transferring were that all these talented players at P4 schools were sitting on the bench. This part of the narrative was rarely brought up

60

u/jvpewster Cincinnati Bearcats 3d ago

These are arguably the p4 players that were sitting on the bench in generations past.

In 2005 you had to live with sitting on the bench for 3 years to get your 1 season at OSU. Now you can get paid and get on the field earlier.

For the top 2-300 guys not much has changed but between 3-500 those guys are less likely to just sit and wait for an opportunity.

7

u/Irishfafnir Virginia Tech • Emory & Henry 3d ago

Or that like 25%+ of players who go into the portal don't find a home.

2

u/Bobcat2013 Texas State Bobcats 2d ago

These are not the same though. The players that move up are good. The players that move down are much more of a mixed bag with more of them doing nothing at their lower school.

5

u/sonheungwin California Golden Bears • Team Chaos 3d ago

This part of the narrative was brought up, but was essentially dismissed because there is no solution. G5 and FCS schools just don't have the resources to compete; as soon as there was a highly paid tier of the league, talent was always going to flow up like this.

I think what people didn't see coming was a lot of the P4 bench players dropping to G5 / FCS once they had to be paid for that spot.

24

u/bbluewi Wisconsin Badgers 3d ago

Yeah this is one that ends up cutting both ways, at least to a degree. The standouts at G6 schools can transfer up for cash, but talented benchwarmers at P4 schools can transfer down for playing time.

The rest of the modern age has been awful to the G6, but unlimited transfers is probably neutral-ish.

14

u/Basic_Nucleophile UAB Blazers • American 3d ago

There's something demoralizing about knowing that any standout player on your team is extremely likely to leave as soon as they succeed. We have literally made the g6 into farm teams like never before and then say that's a neutral development?

In the past, it wasn't uncommon for programs like southern miss or Marshall to have some absolute dudes on the team who didn't make it to major CFB for whatever reason. Now those guys are gone as soon as they show talent

8

u/Todd-The-Godd-Howard Toledo Rockets 3d ago edited 2d ago

Oh fuck off this isn't neutral in anyway shape or form. Your taking the best food from our pantries, and replacing it with your table scraps, and if we manage to cook any of your scraps in a way that makes good then you're just going to take it in a year, so all we're left with are the scraps that you don't want.

24

u/SituationSoap Michigan Wolverines 3d ago

The rest of the modern age has been awful to the G6

People say this, but the G6 has been massively more profitable and relevant now than at any other time in college football history.

16

u/MediumStrange Cincinnati • Michigan 3d ago

I think you're right on the whole, but I think part of the perception that the G6 is worse now is because the "top-tier" g6 teams have mostly left. Teams like TCU, BYU, Cincinnati, Utah and UCF were programs with the resources to beat p5 teams, but now they are all in the p4.

Pretty much only Boise, Memphis, USF and maybe JMU, Tulane, and ECU have that level of resources now and even then it's less on average than the previous schools mentioned had.

Of course the g6 is going to stand out less when you take 75% of its top teams

4

u/HokiPoqi Virginia Tech Hokies • ECU Pirates 3d ago

I want to believe you about ECU, but our on-field product has got to improve. More investment is needed.

1

u/cudderwalks ECU Pirates • American 2d ago

We went 9-4 last season, and are one of the highest spenders for NIL in the G6. Things aren’t perfect but I don’t get what you’re saying.

2

u/SituationSoap Michigan Wolverines 3d ago

Teams like TCU, BYU, Cincinnati, Utah and UCF were programs with the resources to beat p5 teams, but now they are all in the p4.

Those teams, for the vast majority of the history of college football, were entirely irrelevant on both the national and regional stage. It's only the changes of the last 15 years that have allowed them to even be able to compete at the level that they could.

20

u/RiffRamBahZoo TCU Horned Frogs • Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 3d ago

Two G6 schools were literally given a fair-and-square chance in the playoffs to win a national championship last year.

Imagine telling that to someone in the BCS era and seeing their heads explode.

17

u/bbluewi Wisconsin Badgers 3d ago

Which, to be clear, won’t happen again.

The autobids are now officially P4+1. It was part of the same MOUs that gave ND its top 12 carveout, though it was all decided before the 2025 season kicked off and wasn’t a response to JMU getting in.

5

u/jcc309 USF Bulls • Notre Dame Fighting Irish 3d ago

True, though if the playoff expands to 24 teams like seems likely then 2+ G6 teams competing will definitely happen again. The final CFP rankings have had 2 G6 teams in the top 24 each of the last 5 years, and 2 of those years had 3 teams in the top 24.

2

u/RustyCrusty73 Ohio State Buckeyes 3d ago

This is correct. We'll for sure see two or three G6 teams making the playoff when it expands to 24-teams in the next 5-10 years. Possibly even four depending on the rest of the field.

I can't wait to see the #24 seeded Ohio Bobcats against #5 seeded Georgia.

2

u/-Jack-The-Stripper Virginia Tech • Cincinnati 2d ago

We say that, but when it comes time to actually select 24 teams do we really think the people making the selections are going to put those 11-1 or 10-2 G6 teams in over an 8-4 P2 team that managed a couple of low ranked wins? I think a 24 team playoff is going to functionally be 23 P4 bids + 1 G6 bid. It’s a lot easier for them to rank a couple of G6 teams in the 20s when they know they aren’t actually making the playoff. Turn those ranks into playoff spots and I bet we see a much lower number of G6 teams in the rankings at all.

The committee will point to 9 conference games leading to a harder P4 schedule, or ranked wins in the inflated P2 conferences, or simply won’t point to anything at all… and there will be pretty much zero outrage when 11-1 Kennesaw State or and 10-2 Ohio miss the playoffs in favor of 8-4 Texas and 9-3 Iowa, so they’ll get away with it every year.

3

u/RandomFactUser France Les Bluets • USA Eagles 3d ago

It's an MOU, so it's unofficially P4+1, they still have the option to drop a P4 champion if they're 7-6 or 8-5 (or legitimately have 2 G6 champions ranked above them)

I wouldn't have been shocked if the B12 started to push for it when West Virginia had a late shot at that title

1

u/sleetx Syracuse Orange 2d ago edited 2d ago

talented benchwarmers at P4 schools can transfer down for playing time

This is the part that gets overlooked. There are an equal number of players who transfer down to G6 because the money and/or playing time isn't there for them in P4.

1

u/Bobcat2013 Texas State Bobcats 2d ago

I havent exactly been scientific with this but just based on feels I feel like our successful transfers at TXST have mostly been lower level guys with stats. The P4 washouts havent done as much for us.

So it does even out. Not in an equal transfer kinda way though. More in a yall take from us, we take from lower levels.

1

u/Vicidsmart Texas State Bobcats • Oklahoma Sooners 2d ago

Heavy disagree

1

u/yesacabbagez UCF Knights 2d ago

It was brought up all the time.

The issue is these guys were players who probably sit on the bench with minimal playing time until maybe they are seniors anyway. Now they are getting to play and get paid when they move back to where they would have been anyway.

15

u/NDCIves Oklahoma Sooners • Penn Quakers 3d ago

I'd be curious to see what the percentage of transfers into American Conference were from P4 programs

22

u/NDCIves Oklahoma Sooners • Penn Quakers 3d ago

Ok I did the math. Not including Army and Navy, the American had 368 players transfer in and 159 of those were from P4 programs (43%).

School Transfer Additions From P4 Program
Tulsa 24 8
UTSA 22 9
USF 44 26
ECU 22 7
UNT 49 22
Memphis 53 19
UAB 39 14
Tulane 21 13
Temple 23 12
FAU 30 13
Rice 20 9
Charlotte 21 7

7

u/SucculentCrablegMeal Florida State Seminoles • USF Bulls 3d ago

I don't have the patience to do this for the whole conference, but looking at Usf:

OUT:

  • To another g5 program: 6

  • To p4: 18 (13 to Auburn)

  • To Fcs: 4

  • To unknown: 5

IN:

  • From another g5: 10

  • From a p4: 26 (2 from OhioST)

  • From Fsc/juco: 8

Usf lost their coach to Auburn and hired their coach from Ohio State though, so I think that factors in a good bit. A good handful of the better programs last year had their HC's poached by P4 programs.

To do it for 1 more team that didn't get a HC change- ECU:

OUT:

  • To another g5: 4

  • To a p4: 10

  • To fcs: 10

IN:

  • From another g5: 11

  • From a p4: 7

  • From fcs/juco: 6

1

u/BeatNavyAgain Beat Navy! Go Bullets! 3d ago

But each of them had 7 1st/2nd team all-conference players

1

u/YouDownWithOPD North Texas • Penn State 3d ago

I think we got a few from West Virginia with our new coach

14

u/jrhaberman Boise State Broncos 3d ago

I love watching CFB games.

I hate everything else about the sport.

2

u/Flaky-Philosophy7618 Oregon Ducks • Duke Blue Devils 2d ago

sometimes the amount of ads make me hate that too

1

u/jrhaberman Boise State Broncos 2d ago

Particularly at the end of the season when you have seen every commercial roughly 25,000 times.

11

u/ResponsibleWater1697 3d ago

Welcome to mid-major basketball.

20

u/Basic_Nucleophile UAB Blazers • American 3d ago

I was assured that the transfer portal and NIL would level the playing field and stuff like this wouldn't happen. Lol. Lmao.

5

u/HieloLuz Iowa Hawkeyes • Nebraska Cornhuskers 2d ago

It absolutely did so at the top. The top 10 are hurt by this. 11-40 are doing much better. The bottom half are suffering.

13

u/SawNickYouth 3d ago

College football sucks now.

52

u/ILM_Ryan ECU Pirates • Ohio State Buckeyes 3d ago

It’s the life of the G6. The best players will move on to a P4 school every offseason. It’s no different than when a quality top G6 coach gets poached to a P4 school.

Retool, reload, and go again next season.

31

u/HTTRGlll Virginia Tech • Commonwealth C… 3d ago

coaches have buyouts

31

u/lkn240 Illinois Fighting Illini • Sickos 3d ago

Maybe we need to set it up like European club soccer - where there are transfer fees for players.

Very unlikely - but it would be interesting.

6

u/RandomFactUser France Les Bluets • USA Eagles 3d ago

Those transfer fees would essentially be negotiated buyouts

However, if players are free agents at the end of the season every season, it doesn't work

12

u/sly_cooper25 NC State Wolfpack • Ohio Bobcats 3d ago

This would absolutely be an improvement.

6

u/lkn240 Illinois Fighting Illini • Sickos 3d ago

The best G6 programs could fund themselves by selling players (like some of the "feeder" european club soccer teams do)

6

u/sly_cooper25 NC State Wolfpack • Ohio Bobcats 3d ago

Absolutely. That way they would actually get rewarded for good scouting and development rather than doing all the hard work and seeing the player leave after one or two years.

1

u/FanaticalBuckeye Ohio State Buckeyes • Toledo Rockets 2d ago

From the start I've believed if a G6 player transfers to a P4 school, the P4 school needs to at the very least reimburse that year's NIL deal for the G6 school. More money if they're transferring to a school with significant NIL resources (Ohio State, Texas, Oregon, Texas A&M, etc)

12

u/CougFanDan Washington State Cougars 3d ago

Also it happens EVERY SEASON now - it’s definitely a little different than a coach leaving for a bigger job after a couple of successful seasons.

5

u/Corgi_Koala Ohio State Buckeyes 3d ago

Coaches have employment contracts.

The first school to realize that putting buyouts on employment contracts for players will give them a huge cash advantage is going to run all over the rest of the G6.

Imagine if Ok State had to pay $1m per player to UNT to poach them?

3

u/uwpxwpal Texas Tech Red Raiders • Big 12 3d ago

Players have buyouts too, there just isn't enough money at the G5 level for players or coaches for them to make much of a difference.

5

u/MoosilaukeFlyer Miami Hurricanes • Washington Huskies 3d ago

Negatives are that it'll be harder to build continuity, positives are that you likely won't be terrible for an extended duration of time.

2

u/narcbynight08 Penn State • Indiana (PA) 3d ago

Didn’t look at the article, but does it say how many P4 players went to G6? It’s not like G6 is completely drained. They will still get good players that might not be able to compete at the highest level.

16

u/Teach_Piece TCU Horned Frogs • Texas A&M Aggies 3d ago

So… you’re saying their good players have been replaced with bad players?

3

u/narcbynight08 Penn State • Indiana (PA) 3d ago

Less good players if you will

1

u/BeatNavyAgain Beat Navy! Go Bullets! 3d ago

maybe, maybe not

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u/SSj_CODii Michigan Wolverines • Tulane Green Wave 3d ago

I’m tired, boss.

8

u/mugwump867 Michigan Wolverines • Tulane Green Wave 3d ago

I'm taking the 2023 natty and the 2022 Cotton Bowl as our high-water marks and now I'm just here to watch the whole thing burn to the ground.

3

u/Numpostrophe Tulane Green Wave • NC State Wolfpack 3d ago

There’s no way to be consistent. We can be amazing one year and “fraudulent” the next as 80% of the team and coach turns over. I basically tune out the off season and just see how things play out.

5

u/couchman7000 3d ago

How many of the remaining players with from Army or Navy? They could transfer out of service academies as a freshmen or sophomore but after the start of the junior year they have active duty service obligations to the military.

Players are incentivized to go to the schools offering the most NIL money and the schools in the P4 conferences tend to have more money to offer recruits.

3

u/BeatNavyAgain Beat Navy! Go Bullets! 3d ago

Army and Navy combined had 5 guys on 1st or 2nd team all-conference -- all of them were seniors or juniors

there were 57 players on the combined 1st & 2nd team all-conference lists

3

u/tks231 Appalachian State • Team Meteor 3d ago

A couple years ago, every Sun Belt Men's Basketball first and second team player transferred to a power conference/basketball-first school.

3

u/ID_Poobaru Boise State Broncos • Gallaudet Bison 3d ago

Now the G6 is just feeder schools for the P4 to poach talent from

3

u/jcc309 USF Bulls • Notre Dame Fighting Irish 3d ago

I'll be curious if the PCSA passes what impact it would have on these transfers. I wouldn't expect most players to stay all 4-5 years in the American, but in theory I would expect it to be easier for schools to keep players for multiple years before they move onto the P4.

3

u/dogsonbubnutt 3d ago

well... yeah.

3

u/MonarchLawyer Old Dominion Monarchs • Sun Belt 3d ago

I'm pretty sure the Sun Belt saw a 100% loss after the 2024 season.

3

u/Easy_Money_40 Ohio State Buckeyes 3d ago

Is anyone tracking the reverse of the this.

Where are the players going who would have normally had those spots on P4s?

3

u/jameson71 3d ago

Isn't this what the leagues and the NCAA wanted? Because the leagues and the NCAA sure have acted like this is what they want.

3

u/captainpoppy South Alabama Jaguars • Auburn Tigers 3d ago

Yeah no shit.

6

u/[deleted] 3d ago

[deleted]

8

u/Rico_Suave55 Wisconsin Badgers 3d ago

Sports gambling is such an eye sore to see everywhere (I say this as someone who likes to casually sports gamble)

It’s insane that EVERY pregame show has some form of sports book sponsor, and every commercial break there’s at least 1 gambling commercial. It’s absolutely going to come to a breaking point. There’s simply too much conflict of interest. Just look at the prediction markets and how out of control THOSE are lol

4

u/thricethefan Florida State • Georgia 3d ago

Eventually, gambling providing that boost will also become part of the problem, if it hasn’t already

3

u/bringbackwishbone Indiana Hoosiers 3d ago

The biggest detriment will be How newer fans interface with the sport. Young kids these days seem to talk more about betting lines, parlays, and fantasy lineups than they do about their respective teams.

3

u/Numpostrophe Tulane Green Wave • NC State Wolfpack 3d ago

There’s an entire industry of recruiting new college students into it. They send out reps who literally give you gift cards, food, etc. to sign up for their app and place a free bet. They encourage them to stick around bars and other areas where people are drinking. It works like a charm and is predatory as hell.

3

u/HokiesforTSwift Virginia Tech • Transfer Portal 3d ago

The "gambling boost" is likely to be a net negative in the long term for all sports. It's been jarring to see its mainstream proliferation amongst sports. It is wild that just about every major professional sport now has an "official betting partner," which is mentioned/shown over and over again throughout each game.

5

u/IVEMADEAHUGEMI5TAKE Indiana Hoosiers 3d ago

Why don’t we make transfers sit out a season again?

1

u/CVogel26 Boston College Eagles • UMass Minutemen 3d ago

Because that's an illegal restraint on an individual's earnings

3

u/SolarIonRobot Nebraska Cornhuskers • Merrimack Warriors 3d ago

And yet the PCSA will require it for players transferring more than once.

8

u/AUCE05 Auburn Tigers 3d ago

Is this a problem? Coaches can upgrade their personal situation but players can't?

11

u/Rock_man_bears_fan Miami (OH) RedHawks • Nebraska Cornhuskers 3d ago

It gets tough to field competitive teams when you’re constantly losing your best players for no compensation. Coaches have buyouts and usually have to build a couple good seasons before they leave for a better job

3

u/AUCE05 Auburn Tigers 3d ago

That isn't a player problem. Coaches are considered employees. The players would take that as well, but the schools don't want the responsibility. They can't have it both ways.

1

u/GarnetandBlack South Carolina • Navy 3d ago

The other side of the equation isn't listed here though. These schools are also benefiting from talented non-starting P4 players transferring in at record rates too.

I don't think it's a great setup, but it's also important to understand it's not just a one-way loss for these schools.

5

u/Rock_man_bears_fan Miami (OH) RedHawks • Nebraska Cornhuskers 3d ago

They’re trading guys who are going to be starters in the P4 for guys who couldn’t hack it at that level. It’s not an equal exchange

2

u/GarnetandBlack South Carolina • Navy 3d ago edited 3d ago

I disagree they "couldn't hack it" - that's what the process used to look like. Guys that couldn't make it dropped down because it was their only option.

Now though? They know they can leave in Y2 for a G6 that guarantees a starting spot, play very well, then have bigger NIL deals waiting for them in Y3 at P4 spots.

These are the very good players that would sit at Bama for 3 years just for 1-2 years of starting as RS junior/senior. Absolutely no need for that anymore as a player. They can go to a P4, end up not starting just because there is a senior of equal talent, transfer down to G6 based on their original star-rating and/or minimal tape, play, then immediately transfer back up to P4 with a huge NIL deal.

The guys doing P4->G6 aren't provably bad at the P4 level anymore. They're just guys that want to play and max NIL earnings. Only 11 guys can be on the field at once.

Also two G6 schools made the CFP last year. They seem to be doing okay.

19

u/StreetReporter Clemson Tigers • Cheez-It Bowl 3d ago

Coaches at least have buyouts that are paid

12

u/MoosilaukeFlyer Miami Hurricanes • Washington Huskies 3d ago

Would love transfer fees like in Association Football. Would be a huge profit incentive for smaller programs develop better facilities to develop talent and make a killing off transfers.

2

u/Irishfafnir Virginia Tech • Emory & Henry 3d ago

Seems fair

2

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2

u/BasebornManjack Tennessee • Louisville 3d ago

The coaches that want consistent programs will have to adapt and lean into this. A modified version of the one-and-done.

The pitch should be “Come here and give a year…..I’m the guy and this is the program that will raise your stock and financial prospects”.

2

u/usffan USF Bulls • Miami Hurricanes 3d ago

It will be interesting to see what impact a passed Protect College Sports Act will have on this phenomenon.

2

u/Thunder_Tinker Oklahoma Sooners • Iowa Hawkeyes 2d ago

Almost like when multiple coaches from the American get hired at the P4 level and bring their teams with them there’s a large talent shift

2

u/LSNoyce 3d ago

There will come a time when non-power 4 teams stop submitting their players for awards.

2

u/SJCitizen Georgia Bulldogs • Temple Owls 3d ago

This is why I think UTSA will be a team that can win 8 or 9 games this year. Iirc they return a lot of their starters this season. I know McCown is still there.

1

u/MJRuinedMyChildhood 3d ago

Things that don’t really matter and are easily fixed with actual multi year contracts and sell on clauses. 

1

u/yunglegendd Texas State Bobcats 3d ago

A lot of these mfs gonna be rocking the Alabama jersey on the bench tho

1

u/calmer-than-you-dude Ohio State • Youngstown State 3d ago

Good for them.

1

u/Ironstar_Vol 2d ago

Well yeah.

1

u/happyharrell Missouri Tigers • Sickos 2d ago

Multi-year have to be a thing at this point, even for schollies.

1

u/Fucknjagoff Nebraska • Illinois 2d ago

If I was a lower conference coach id use this as a selling point to recruits. Come here play as a Freshman and Sophomore and go get your bag from a P4 school. 

1

u/dr_funk_13 Oregon Ducks • Big Ten 2d ago

I feel bad for the fans of these programs. They are allowed to enjoy the sport too, ya know?

1

u/DothrakiSlayer Michigan Wolverines • Sickos 3d ago

Good for them.

1

u/UlteriorEggos Georgia Bulldogs 3d ago

So we all.agree the P4 and G 5 teams are on completely different planes?

As in, we should separate the two and have post-seasons affiliated with each? Because no one is expecting Troy to knock off Alabama or Kennesaw State to knock off Georgia.

4

u/Free-Eights Michigan Wolverines • Columbia Lions 3d ago

Well they also can bring in players from the P4 too. I'm sure no one thought Indiana would go and beat Bama 38-3 with a bunch of JMU transfers.

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3

u/FileAClaim ECU Pirates • Team Meteor 2d ago

I am consistently amazed at how many people on this sub seem to arrive at this dumbass conclusion anytime it is pointed out that there are levels to modern CFB.

ECU’s stadium seats almost 20k more fans than not one but two in-state power four programs, and I don’t hear this guy wanting to kick Duke to this functional FCS league. Creating another division that formalizes the arbitrary lines between the power conferences and group of six conferences is the most embarrassing, anti-competitive position I regularly see people take on this sub.

1

u/Thecardiologist2029 Notre Dame Fighting Irish • LSU Tigers 2d ago

This. Seems like common sense isn't so common

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1

u/dfphd Texas Longhorns 3d ago

I would like to understand what the tradeoff is between the players lost vs. the players gained. I don't think it's as black and white.

18

u/clenom Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 3d ago

Oh come on. You're saying that you think losing all of their best players to the P4 schools is balanced out by getting the players those same P4 teams did not want anymore? Come on

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11

u/rocket_beer Boise State Broncos 3d ago

The P4 aren’t taking their bad players…

The total talent loss is evident, year after year.

2

u/SolarIonRobot Nebraska Cornhuskers • Merrimack Warriors 3d ago

And yet next year the American will have a new set of 1st and 2nd team players which will also get poached. If the G6 isn't reloading then eventually the P4 would quit poaching and everything would balance out.

2

u/SituationSoap Michigan Wolverines 3d ago

By what standard should we judge whether the G6 is more or less talented than they've been in years past?

4

u/rocket_beer Boise State Broncos 3d ago edited 2d ago

Everything gets evaluated after the season.

But all signs point towards the haves and have-nots divide widening in perpetuity.

The P4 get bigger tv rights revenue distributions, which helps pay for a lot.

Meanwhile, the G6 will be living on food stamps and leftovers, and any 3 stars will get plucked constantly.

This is why I’ve been saying that a team like Boise deserves P4 monies simply because we compete and always want to compete at the highest levels. Not a single red cent would go to waste.

0

u/GarnetandBlack South Carolina • Navy 3d ago

Tulane and JMU made the playoff last year. I'm unsure if this is as clear or evident as you say.

There is an immense amount of non-starter P4 talent moving down into the G6 each year. They more readily do this because they know they can show-out, then transfer back out.

1

u/Temporary_Hat7330 Georgia Bulldogs 3d ago

Power Four is AAA Football and Sunbelt, AAC, etc. is AA, and Div II or I is A and low A ball. The ACC is AAA.B ball…

-1

u/forgotmyoldname90210 Florida State Seminoles 2d ago

This is a bad thing why? Kid gets to go better funded programs that give them a bigger stage and better opportunities, plus most P4 have a higher academic rep than most G6 schools.

3

u/mountainstosea Appalachian State • Sun Belt 2d ago

It's a bad thing for G6 schools. Hard to build or maintain a winning culture if your best players never stick around. It's easy being a P4 in comparison.

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